NHDrySlot Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 As we all struggle through an absolute shithouse of a winter, figured I'd share some outdated pics of my yard from the snow event a few days ago (Before the changeover to pouring rain). I measured 7" on the deck but likely had closer to 8-10" prior to changing to rain. Not bad for Bedford, NH. Much less only a few miles down the road near Bedford center. Looks like southern NH is enjoying an elevation-driven winter so far. And to my knowledge, no one has been axed in that creepy white chair in the third image (Generous previous homeowner left it behind). 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 GFS trying for 1/25....need to consolidate the forcing into the southern stream, but it has a decent look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, NHDrySlot said: As we all struggle through an absolute shithouse of a winter, figured I'd share some outdated pics of my yard from the snow event a few days ago (Before the changeover to pouring rain). I measured 7" on the deck but likely had closer to 8-10" prior to changing to rain. Not bad for Bedford, NH. Much less only a few miles down the road near Bedford center. Looks like southern NH is enjoying an elevation-driven winter so far. And to my knowledge, no one has been axed in that creepy white chair in the third image (Generous previous homeowner left it behind). Not a bad place for snow if you're in the west hills, towards Mont Vernon New Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NHDrySlot Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Not a bad place for snow if you're in the west hills, towards Mont Vernon New Boston Yup I live right on the Goffstown line, less than 2 miles from South Uncanoonuc. Every bit of elevation you gain west of the Merrimack Valley seems to make a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS trying for 1/25....need to consolidate the forcing into the southern stream, but it has a decent look. Looks great for a modest event. I hope it stays as a simpler SWFE-like storm instead of some complex phase job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Hecs near the 30th on the gfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hecs near the 30th on the gfs This probably won't change between now and then. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 23 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Let’s will the month end superstorm to produce in OBY’s, then Feb thaw out and give rise to the dew and install bickering. 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hecs near the 30th on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 11 minutes ago, NHDrySlot said: Yup I live right on the Goffstown line, less than 2 miles from South Uncanoonuc. Every bit of elevation you gain west of the Merrimack Valley seems to make a difference. good spot, also lived there for a minute. rural but close to everything. Weenied out and measured 31" there (1300') in Oct. 2011. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: This probably won't change between now and then. GFS is pretty solid these days. I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 PNA going negative Archambault event ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NHDrySlot Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: good spot, also lived there for a minute. rural but close to everything. Weenied out and measured 31" there (1300') in Oct. 2011. lol 31" is nuts haha. I lived in Hollis at the time and had 11" or so, east side of town with no elevation. My house currently probably pulled 20-24" considering that measurement up the road from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hecs near the 30th on the gfs That's a monster at mid levels ... D10 .. vague support at best, however, so best advice is to set one's expectations accordingly - which given those indicators ..expect that NOT to happen. good eye candy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: PNA going negative Archambault event ? Other way around... the move switch from negative to positive was the focus of the study. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's a monster at mid levels ... D10 .. vague support at best, however, so best advice is to set one's expectations accordingly - which given those indicators ..expect that NOT to happen. good eye candy. It has BECS writing all over it at h5. We can dream, we can pray, we can hope…before reality sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It has BECS writing all over it at h5. We can dream, we can pray, we can hope…before reality sets in. Reality being the very next model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Man.. d-drip solution Chakra channeled straight from Shangri-la solution D8-10 on the GFS That's no HECS ... it's a BECS Bible bomb - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Man.. d-drip solution Chakra channeled straight from Shangri-la solution D8-10 on the GFS That's no HECS ... it's a BECS Bible bomb - Not easy to get sub-960 lows....nevermind at Cape Hatteras latitude, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Good christ ... 20+" just west of the Va Naval yards... at least that much all the way up... In fact, this maxes probably between DCA and PHL with 30+ ... but 20+ clear to southern Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 9 hours ago, Ji said: 9 hours ago, weathafella said: This has been a miserable winter. I’m not going through this again. Contemplating 2 months in warmth next year-logically February and March but getting through January without snow sucks so it could be 12/15-2/15. Whaaaat??? Ji! I miss you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: Watch next winter be very cold and snowy. I will not be able to be on here as much and track storms because I will be married. Dude you so screwed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 8 hours ago, WinterWolf said: No Jerry…say it ain’t so? Don’t throw in the towel. As soon as your do that, ‘78 returns lol. You know that would happen too. The good news is if I go south for 2 months and a monster is a few days away, I come north, experience it from a luxurious location and go back south when it’s done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not easy to get sub-960 lows....nevermind at Cape Hatteras latitude, lol Ye ha! lol.. But, I can see why it is doing this - mm...see, it's probably dopey for us to "analyze" that thing but fwiw - it's not the typical model fractal phantasm at 300+ hour emergence. This is taking a full bird Miller A, not a weak one to begin with ... , and it gets utterly subsumed by a N/stream wave that is connected/rooted in planetary scale wave progression across the continent. It's basically the perfect storm or close to it ... about as close to the kinematic ceiling as can really even happen... Buuut... the numerical PNA doesn't have any interest in sending any kind of signal into the east. The graphics look if anything like we are heading for a thaw turning the page into Feb - which is another debate and open still... The GGEM and the Euro had D10 coastals on their 00z. There may actually be something there at that time, but it probably modulates vastly less and more middling - that would be my first stab but we'll see where the ensemble gather going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Cmc on board but way weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Man.. d-drip solution Chakra channeled straight from Shangri-la solution D8-10 on the GFS That's no HECS ... it's a BECS Bible bomb - Nudie magazine day on the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 If one of those storms work out on the GFS we can salvage January. I'd prefer the second one with the 960 low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 25 minutes ago, NHDrySlot said: 31" is nuts haha. I lived in Hollis at the time and had 11" or so, east side of town with no elevation. My house currently probably pulled 20-24" considering that measurement up the road from me. Yeah I had 21" in same area of Bedford, like 500' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Good christ ... 20+" just west of the Va Naval yards... at least that much all the way up... In fact, this maxes probably between DCA and PHL with 30+ ... but 20+ clear to southern Maine. Meh LBSW 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Meh LBSW It would still be a pretty epic storm even up this way because the WCB is so strong....almost like the superstorm...except further east. I'd take it and run and not worry if some hamlet in SE PA got 31" while I got 24". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It would still be a pretty epic storm even up this way because the WCB is so strong....almost like the superstorm...except further east. I'd take it and run and not worry if some hamlet in SE PA got 31" while I got 24". I was actually being sarcastic that time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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