RDRY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: Nice trends It keeps backing up into the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 CMC doesn't bother me in the least...its great for rogue runs over SYR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The GEFS have a split camp down south, up north the hp is centered further west and wouldn't be so quick to retreat I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Were talking friday and Monday in here........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Were talking friday and Monady in here........lol Well Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday seem kind of boring, so yeah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Well Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday seem kind of boring, so yeah I'm just getting monday on the 12z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This winter has the same feel to it as the Ram offense had against the Pats in the SB... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Anyone who wants to discuss Friday's ocean cirrus should break off a thread for it...its 72 hours out. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Meh. Monday is a lost cause for 95 folks, at least. We do need the rain though. I think. A lost cause with six days to go...based on one GFS run? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: A lost cause with six days to go...based on one GFS run? I get his frustration, though...living in Rockport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Gefs is getting more enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I take that there is a lot of spread to the west on this look for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: A lost cause with six days to go...based on one GFS run? not a lost cause BUT that run certainly isn't going to inspire a lot of hope... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: A lost cause with six days to go...based on one GFS run? He has checked the weather charts to see if it safe to go outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 How much wiggle room is there with this one in terms of rain snow lines? I see that the Canadian is also inland so that can’t really be discounted. I know a track over NYC would rain here but if it were to say track over the canal would that be a snowy solution, or would the rain snow line go well inland of where the low is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, George001 said: How much wiggle room is there with this one in terms of rain snow lines? I see that the Canadian is also inland so that can’t really be discounted. I know a track over NYC would rain here but if it were to say track over the canal would that be a snowy solution, or would the rain snow line go well inland of where the low is? It's 144 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: That's a beauty. The near phase is likely better for us then the full-on phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, George001 said: How much wiggle room is there with this one in terms of rain snow lines? I see that the Canadian is also inland so that can’t really be discounted. I know a track over NYC would rain here but if it were to say track over the canal would that be a snowy solution, or would the rain snow line go well inland of where the low is? Rain and snow line discussion at day 6?? Put the bottle down George. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: not a lost cause BUT that run certainly isn't going to inspire a lot of hope... Breathe in....breathe out..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 That Ukie look at D6 is good for New England. Not as tucked as gfs or GGEM and it would likely max out a bit further north too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I take that there is a lot of spread to the west on this look for Monday. At least a whiff looks unlikely now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That Ukie look at D6 is good for New England. Not as tucked as gfs or GGEM and it would likely max out a bit further north too. Yeah...if the NAVGEM shows something similar, we can pretty much write it off east of the HRV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: not a lost cause BUT that run certainly isn't going to inspire a lot of hope... Look, we've seen the track record of the GFS at mid-range and it sucks. The GEFS is where you should be looking at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 I share Ray’s dislike for the Miller A. I don’t do well in 90 percent of those. Granted, my location is especially hostile. Move just inland to say Woburn or west, you’ll still be able to get a sizeable event. Weenie me if you’d like. More often than not, a Miller A equals little snow here. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: At least a whiff looks unlikely now. Yup I'll take that over some BS scraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: I share Ray’s dislike for the Miller A. I don’t do well in 90 percent of those. Granted, my location is especially hostile. Move just inland to say Woburn or west, you’ll still be able to get a sizeable event. Weenie me if you’d like. More often than not, a Miller A equals little snow here. Yeah I’m rooting for this to morph into a Miller B. I hate Miller As 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 GEFS looks great broad 500mb trough over the TN Valley and some confluent flow downstream thanks to the SE Canada ULL NS energy getting picked up consistently as well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 At least it looks like we could make up some ground the next 2 weeks in the snowfall dept if everything works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I will check if the upstate NY crew wants to do one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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