NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Meh. Monday is a lost cause for 95 folks, at least. We do need the rain though. I think. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Oh no. GFS tucks the storm so much that Boston and SE turns to rain and dryslots. Many days of model watching Boston will see snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Meh. Monday is a lost cause for 95 folks, at least. We do need the rain though. I think. Weenies to the left of me, weenies to the right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, wxeyeNH said: Oh no. GFS tucks the storm so much that Boston and SE turns to rain and dryslots. Many days of model watching Dry slot? LOL Its like the captain of the Titanic being concerned about his loafers getting wet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Epicosity 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It did keep 850s surprisingly cool. But torched 925 The antecedent airmass is pretty good so there will be some wiggle room, but obviously you can't indefinitely stave off the warmth on that type of track....but something slightly east of that would probably be pretty good. Heck, even this solution was prob a solid thump over the interior. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 given where the euro is, there is no reason to panic just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The antecedent airmass is pretty good so there will be some wiggle room, but obviously you can't indefinitely stave off the warmth on that type of track....but something slightly east of that would probably be pretty good. Heck, even this solution was prob a solid thump over the interior. Yeah, it almost looked like a SWFE with the rain to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just check ensembles, though I'm sure GEFS will follow suite like they usually do. Keep in mind that the EURO was a whiff, so plenty to time to sort details out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, it almost looked like a SWFE with the rain to snow It was like a 2-5" front ender here, then down the drain. You would do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Cmc is also inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Perhaps a massive thump first like 2014? Had 12 then 2 inches of rain then 1.5 on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I like where we are. Gfs is never correct on EC cyclones but it usually has maybe 25% weight. Less chances of a fish storm now imwo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Yeah, that's not where we want our high pressure, but it's been moving around quite a bit run to run. wouldn't fret it quite yet, but would obviously like to see that come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not with the amount of cold air I agree, there is a lot of cold air in place and also we have North Atlantic blocking for this storm. That will help prevent the low from running inland, I’m more worried about missing to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, that's not where we want our high pressure, but it's been moving around quite a bit run to run. wouldn't fret it quite yet, but would obviously like to see that come west I'd just want out if that happened lol On the heels of this arctic surge...my god. Brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dry slot? LOL Its like the captain of the Titanic being concerned about his loafers getting wet. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I'll take my chances with a hugger thank you on monady. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, George001 said: I agree, there is a lot of cold air in place and also we have North Atlantic blocking for this storm. That will help prevent the low from running inland, I’m more worried about missing to the south. There is not blocking. There is west atlantic ridging, which could still allow for an inland track.. The cold can and will move if it takes that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Couples inches of snow to severs inches of rain… looks like a mess 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'll take my chances with a hugger thank you on monady. Yea, you are fine that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Hard to deny the trend for about the last 5 runs. Need it to stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just saw the GFS. That’s a Randolph weenie run right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Hard to deny the trend for about the last 5 runs. Need it to stop What I do not like is that the GFS is usually too progressive with coastals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: What I do not like is that the GFS is usually too progressive with coastals. Yeah. GEFS still well east of the OP though, so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 11F here in Enfield near noon. Still have full snowcover, about 3" of frozen snow. Sunday saw a high of 37F with very little rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Yeah. GEFS still well east of the OP though, so there's that. This is probably the west end of envelop...any further east and I should be okay for at least several inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just check ensembles, though I'm sure GEFS will follow suite like they usually do. Keep in mind that the EURO was a whiff, so plenty to time to sort details out. The GFS was so far west of the GEFS mean at 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, you are fine that run. I'm better with that then a track 300 miles offshore that has no chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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