JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That would start to rival 2009-2010 for me. At least back then you had lots of company. 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: ICON or whatever... it's adding in the direction of expectation I outlined this morning/last page... Well yeah, I sh!t on it but obviously still looked at it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: GFS was really the first model to sniff out the significance of the Friday system. Perhaps its the 1st to sniff out the strength of Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The annual Ronnie sniff… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: LOL Anyone who would like this winter to execute a retro Mortal Kombat Finishing Move on me, have a gander at the ICON. Rather than go fatality on you, I'd prob just do the upper cut on the spike pit arena. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Pack starting to wane in the SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Rather than go fatality on you, I'd prob just do the upper cut on the spike pit arena. One more hit, and I'll be doing that little standing spin in place....one of the circle jerk sisters like scooter will be execute the "finish him" voice over... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Reggie is way OTS for Friday fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I do not trust Miller As for the life of me...they are to me what Miller B is to Baltimore, 9/10 times they will find a way to pork me to varying degrees. The only pure miller A off the top of my head that did not was the Megalopolis blizzard of Feb 1983....I actually got some cf naked twister in that one. The most prevalent issue with them is LBSW, but they are also more likely to take less than ideal tracks due to the longer distance traveled. Unreal how we haven't been able to buy a classic Miller B in 1.5 la nina seasons now. Save for maybe 2/1/21? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I guess Jan 1996 didn't screw me, per se, but best was def south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 26 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'd post the ICON for Monday, if it weren't the ICON. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: there should be kids playing out there That was last month here - seven grandkids tracking up the snow for a week, unfortunately some wanted a close look at my snow stake. All was forgiven. Now their footprints are mummified in IP/ZR. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I do not trust Miller As for the life of me...they are to me what Miller B is to Baltimore, 9/10 times they will find a way to pork me to varying degrees. The only pure miller A off the top of my head that did not was the Megalopolis blizzard of Feb 1983....I actually got some cf naked twister in that one. The most prevalent issue with them is LBSW, but they are also more likely to take less than ideal tracks due to the longer distance traveled. Unreal how we haven't been able to buy a classic Miller B in 1.5 la nina seasons now. Save for maybe 2/1/21? I’m with you on that, give me a Miller B over Miller A any day, that’s why I’m rooting for the Monday nor’easter over the Friday one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, George001 said: I’m with you on that, give me a Miller B over Miller A any day, that’s why I’m rooting for the Monday nor’easter over the Friday one. Monday is Miller A, too.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I do not trust Miller As for the life of me...they are to me what Miller B is to Baltimore, 9/10 times they will find a way to pork me to varying degrees. The only pure miller A off the top of my head that did not was the Megalopolis blizzard of Feb 1983....I actually got some cf naked twister in that one. The most prevalent issue with them is LBSW, but they are also more likely to take less than ideal tracks due to the longer distance traveled. Unreal how we haven't been able to buy a classic Miller B in 1.5 la nina seasons now. Save for maybe 2/1/21? No arguments here on any of this Fuk Miller A's............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Regardless of range, I will sell those high end amounts of the GFS right off the bat because the best we usually do on a Miller A is like 10-20". There is a ceiling on those around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Monday is Miller A, too.... Yeah, at least as modeled, 6z GFS had a closed 500mb low over Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Monday is Miller A, too.... Its is, George hitting the bottle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 GFS is threatening to make Friday interesting. Still seeing some meaningful changes happening early in these runs. So many vortmaxes, so little time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Monday is Miller A, too.... I thought some of the models had that as a Miller B? I hope we trend back to that I hate Miller As, I’m not interested in DC stealing all our snow. We need the evolution of the storm to change again… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Having H5 close off several hundred miles south of our latitude does not scream "upper end storm" to me. Can still be big, but sell these 20"+ fantasies, which is usually the course of least regret, anyway, but def. with Miller A systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Having H5 close off several hundred miles south of our latitude does not scream "upper end storm" to me. Can still be big, but sell these 20"+ fantasies, which is usually the course of least regret, anyway, but def. with Miller A systems. upper end for the mid atlantic, maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, George001 said: I thought some of the models had that as a Miller B? I hope we trend back to that I hate Miller As, I’m not interested in DC stealing all our snow. We need the evolution of the storm to change again… One way to pull it off is to have N stream insert as it progresses north...like a hybrid Miller A/B deal. GFS may do that, I am not analyzing H5 at hr 156. I think Feb 2013 did that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: upper end for the mid atlantic, maybe YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Not much phasing going on with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Looks like a trend to more wave spacing between Fri and Mon systems with the 12Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We were OTing about mindfulness stuff last weekend, and that is one of my things...I'll get 16 buns for this, but I keep a calendar every year that I use as a weather journal...kind of forces you to stop and just observe the sky for a few moments each day..to get in idea of how cloudy it was etc...high, low temps..... I did it when I was a kid, stopped for awhile when I was a teen and young adult, but picked back up several years ago once I got my life in order. Here's a story on the incredible value of daily observations. washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/11/27/colorado-rockies-snow-climate-lab/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, snowgeek said: Looks like a trend to more wave spacing between Fri and Mon systems with the 12Z runs. This run will suck, anyway. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One way to pull it off is to have N stream insert as it progresses North...like a hybrid Miller A/B deal. GFS may do that, I am not analyzing H5 at hr 156. I think Feb 2013 did that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Yea...this is probably why we got that insane band in CT..best of both worlds. Mutant with Miller B jolt and Miller A origin and juice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This run will suck, anyway. heh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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