40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Better read the some Mets thoughts as well bongboy I haven't seen any mets calling for a storm on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Friday and Monday 6z EPS Friday meh, Monday looks pretty good, assuming those are starting to turn the corner... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't seen any mets calling for a storm on Friday. Friday is not happening. Monday has a much better possibility though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Friday is not happening. Monday has a much better possibility though. Agree. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't seen any mets calling for a storm on Friday. They’re saying watch for changes and by Wednesday you’ll know if it’s real or not 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Better read the some Mets thoughts as well bongboy Stop drinking. You can’t even put a correct sentence together. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Stop drinking. You can’t even put a correct sentence together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Still -4, actually dropped to -5 for a bit within the last hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not a country fan but I listened and it wasn’t bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m not a country fan but I listened and it wasn’t bad. Stapleton is great. One of the best . Incorporates a lot of blues into it 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5. Yeah but is it wave 2 or wave 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5. That's why Scooter shouldn't give up a week out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Wow...so I don't know if I've ever seen a GFS OP run be so far outside the spread of the ensembles at a day 5-7 lead. I guess there is what, 1 CRV runner on the 6z GEFS, and every other member is over Bermuda. Just odd. Just the general lack of spread is odd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I like the 7am to 7pm stuff I’m always a lil confused by that stuff. When I look at the point and click, or any of the 7 day extended etc….and it shows for example: Mon: low 8/hi 18, Tue: low 6/hi 30, I think of it as the low is the lowest temp right before sunrise, and then the hi temp is whatever it got to that afternoon before it starts to drop off as the sun goes down. Maybe I’m looking at that incorrect? I don’t know. When these cheap hi’s occur at midnight and then it drops from there, that’s when those hi/lo’s can be confusing to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Wow...so I don't know if I've ever seen a GFS OP run be so far outside the spread of the ensembles at a day 5-7 lead. I guess there is what, 1 CRV runner on the 6z GEFS, and every other member is over Bermuda. Just odd. Just the general lack of spread is odd. Seems like the northern stream dominated nina is recking havoc on guidance in the mid range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: That's why Scooter shouldn't give up a week out Scooter fools a lot…to try and spoon up the Debbie’s….and it works for most all of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: That's why Scooter shouldn't give up a week out Isn’t that Monday deal leaning more towards later Monday and Tuesday now…which would probably be better due to the better space between systems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Scooter fools a lot…to try and spoon up the Debbie’s….and it works for most all of them. What are you guys talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 WFH has encouraged a lot of beer being consumed by a few in here today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Not overly excited about anything this weekend. Pretty muddied up 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 47 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't seen any mets calling for a storm on Friday. Same here...every Boston area TV MET is passing on Friday like it was Sam Darnold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5. Thread likely/pending ... for low confidence, *however* with such a high upside I feel monitoring is necessary.. May wait on the 12z ens. I'll probably cut and paste content from this post and cobble some annotated charts The problem is the excessive to the extent/ saturating the base-line with potential; a powder-keg merely capped by wave interference. I warned this yesterday ( and the day before...) that we are essentially playing with fair with so much volatility, that is by convenience of wave-space contention being preventative. Given just a modicum of breathing room in any modeling, and any one of these waves can become an equally handsome cyclone with very little excuse to do so. The 00z/06z oper. GFS opened the window and let the air in for the 17th Note, this signal had the better appeal/timing "cadence" with the super synopsis going back three days, when it was the D9-11 ( day after that last snow event).. now is D6-8, and she's more than less coming back in the GEFs... Feel we are in the early stages ( like right at zygote but ensuing -) for the 17th emergence and that other non-GFS will probably show in the future. The 00Z GGEM actually already did in principle, although it's stretching the x-corrdinate and that takes it too far E and doesn't allow the same eventual phasing of the 06z GFS solution ( using the latter as a paragon). I would not have posted this post here if it were not for your mentioning the 06z EPS - which is thus a positive trend from 00z, and is likely also like the GGEM ...an early consensus. I was nodding when I saw your post. This would be a different storm than the last if it works out... The 00z GEFs numerical telecons are flagging a +1 --> -1 --> 0 modulation in the NAO over the next 10 days, the range of which is rather ideal... because anything lower and it scoots seaward underneath/suppressed. Where's earlier phases/Lakes cutters are not really in the cards at all with this. Meanwhile, the PNA aspect is in a postive mode albeit modest ..but climbing through the same period. These altogether do not represent a bad scaffolding... The NAO and the PNA are in a modest teleconnector covergence here. 24 of the 30 GEF members I saw have SE U.S. to west Atl cyclogenesis, 7 of which were rather deep and far enough W. This is the cluster trying to jump back on board in my opinion. The flow over the deep S-SE is relaxed prior to the arrival of this western ridge associated with some sort of at least transient +PNAP exertion, an exertion/aspect that I wonder may be also emerging - i.e., more. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 That storm on the GFS is like what Ray has been waiting for. Just throwing me into the shed and shooting it up with an AK-47. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That storm on the GFS is like what Ray has been waiting for. Just throwing me into the shed and shooting it up with an AK-47. After you still get a foot of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: After you still get a foot of snow Not with that look. Anyways, NAM trying for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 My favorite MLK day storm was 1994. I was in S Royalton VT at the time. We got 17 inches in short order. Sadly during the heaviest part of the storm I walked across the village green and my keys fell out in the process. It was snowing so hard that when I noticed about 10 minutes later that I could not even find my prints in the snow. A friend found the keys in mid-May when the last of the snow piles melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just looking at this from my perspective and just really looking at it only just yesterday, I think its a really small chance that this one on friday will be close enough outside of maybe the extreme eastern areas to see anything inland, Monday-Tuesday, May end up different but these storms that are even outside of even 3 days out have to be taken with a grain of salt on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Strung out mess on the 12z Nam, That may be the only way to get some snow out of this on Friday other wise if it consolidates it looks to pin wheel east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now