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January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Why is everyone creaming their jeans on a faux event a week + away when Tuesday snower is right in front of us?

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I don't think anyone is creaming their jeans for one...and this is a January pattern thread, where long range is the focus. Start a thread if you are so sold on Tuesday.

Its three days out-

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Why is everyone creaming their jeans on a faux event a week + away when Tuesday snower is right in front of us?

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:43 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think anyone is creaming their pants for one...and this is a January pattern thread, where long range is the focus. Start a thread if you are so sold on Tuesday.

Its three days out-

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, I guess...I'm just not married to any particular timeframe at this range in fast flow. I supposed I could have explicitly qualified that, but also wasn't sure if it isn't implicit at that range.

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Yeah... I don't have any opine farther out in time... In fact, I'm wondering if the Feb is up in the air.  I realize the Weeklies threaten another 80 mid month ( "half" snark) ... but the America telecons are split ... and we've seen the Weeklies prove their futility in the past. 

I think the SSW is dead for now... ugh. It looked promising?  it did, but, I've noticed after a week of monitoring the GEFs are can kicking while modulating warming lower...  It's like how many correlations have stop working since 2010 ?  holy hell -

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

image.thumb.png.1141ffd39b71f7eb178825f73b8c9371.png

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, I guess...I'm just not married to any particular timeframe at this range in fast flow. I supposed I could have explicitly qualified that, but also wasn't sure if it isn't implicit at that range.

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

??

image.thumb.png.fcf6e1d27aebc17cdf68af522fce9636.png

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:52 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

This is just a fantastic photo!

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i've always loved the snowfalls where you can look up and see the shadowed aggregate clumps against the white sky. That pic has it to the extreme....very large aggregate clumps....likely hooked dendrites of course given the BL temps in the snow growth zone. Probably 20 or 25  to 1 fluffer nutter.

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:54 PM, ORH_wxman said:

i've always loved the snowfalls where you can look up and see the shadowed aggregate clumps against the white sky. That pic has it to the extreme....very large aggregate clumps....likely hooked dendrites of course given the BL temps in the snow growth zone. Probably 20 or 25  to 1 fluffer nutter.

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zactly!   That ( bold ..) is probably why one sees a lot of that effect in alpine video of dim sun backdrop and frontage like slow motion swarming bumblebees. They haven't had time to collide and normalize

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  On 1/21/2022 at 5:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm not pinning my hopes to a single threat at 8-11 days + lead.

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Gee, I can’t understand why? 
 

I am hopeful we get a little more cooperation between the N & S streams for end of next week but either way, I am in no way discounting February for the possibility of some decent overrunning events.  

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