HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Hey, at least it will be cold. And dry. And…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Hey, at least it will be cold. And dry. And…. Really warm starting February 1st 12:00 am EST. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. That's a Dante's ninth circle of hell look my goodness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. Get ready for another March 2018 repeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. Too soon? Worried that we may flip to an eastern trough in spring. If only we could delay this till March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Why not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Too soon? Worried that we may flip to an eastern trough in spring. If only we could delay this till March. I’m sure it will flip post-equinox when it becomes useless. All joking aside, weeklies have been pretty insistent on February being done after the first week, so we’ll see if they are actually right this time. If we’re not gonna cash in between now and 1/30, I’m throwing in the towel on salvaging a normal winter…but of course I’ll still be rooting for a huge storm at some point. I’d make a deal with the devil and punt all of February if we could get a monster in March. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. For everyone or is this a SNE centric post? I can torch a little in Feb and still get snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Although the Euro can’t even get it right 48 hours out these days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 47 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Some you guys throwing away the rest of winter seems premature. Models suck beyond 3 days and people are writing off the next 4-6wks. I'm usually a half glass empty guy, but in Biden's best voice "C'mon man", have some faith. Like 90% is reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Like 90% is reverse psychology. works for me most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Well at least there is a storm tomorrow down south to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. Right? Oof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 The high water mark of the torch appears to be the week of 2/14. No escape if correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What an epic torch on the weeklies for February. We technically don’t have a February thread yet but that would basically end winter after the first few days of the month. Excellent. Let's do this. 2-3' to end January followed by 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, PhineasC said: For everyone or is this a SNE centric post? I can torch a little in Feb and still get snow. This is an all out torch for everyone in the east....but yeah, at 1500 feet in the whites you can still do ok as long as the pattern is active....which it probably would be given there is still PAC ridging into the Bering and then sending the PJ down into the west coast. But who knows....the weeklies aren't very useful beyond week 2/3...they aren't much better than the CFS in that range, and the CFS has a much colder pattern: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 We talking NBD warmth like 60's? Or are we talking 2018/2019 like warmth, pushing 80 in Feb? Let's do it! I'm sure KBED will be 78F with bees buzzing, while I'm 48F with a sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: We talking NBD warmth like 60's? Or are we talking 2018/2019 like warmth, pushing 80 in Feb? Let's do it! I'm sure KBED will be 78F with bees buzzing, while I'm 48F with a sea breeze. Weekly mean pattern won't tell us enough detail to determine whether we get 70....given how rare 70 is (despite doing it twice recently in 2017 and 2018), it probably wouldn't be that type of warmth. Esp given the ridging still present over the Bering. You'd need an obscene western trough which is always possible, but you wouldn't predict that far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 38 minutes ago, PhineasC said: For everyone or is this a SNE centric post? I can torch a little in Feb and still get snow. You’re going down with the rest of us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: You’re going down with the rest of us Kiss of death here is the dry pattern. I just received 15 inches of snow from an inland runner so I can work with less than perfect setups but if it goes dry then blah. Makes the torch days even worse because there is nothing to refresh it. This happened last March here. We had torch days but it refused to precipitate any more than just scattered stuff. I am willing to roll the dice with 30 degrees and a firehose if that's what's coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 We over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 not gonna lie, I’m getting a little concerned that my area is going to finish the season with less than 40 inches of snow. The polar vortex is deepening, not weakening and the long range models are showing a trough out west. Things can change but not looking great right now. What are some possible wildcards that could cause things to break our way and prevent the polar vortex from deepening and consolidating over the North Pole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Looks like the NAM finally offed itself 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Close the blinds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, George001 said: not gonna lie, I’m getting a little concerned that my area is going to finish the season with less than 40 inches of snow. The polar vortex is deepening, not weakening and the long range models are showing a trough out west. Things can change but not looking great right now. What are some possible wildcards that could cause things to break our way and prevent the polar vortex from deepening and consolidating over the North Pole? Luck, lots of luck…and a little: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heat Miser Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Close the blinds Wasn't someone claiming we only had six weeks of winter left as of January 1? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Close the blinds I hate that it looks like there is troughing out west. Hopefully it’s wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 It’ll change. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weekly mean pattern won't tell us enough detail to determine whether we get 70....given how rare 70 is (despite doing it twice recently in 2017 and 2018), it probably wouldn't be that type of warmth. Esp given the ridging still present over the Bering. You'd need an obscene western trough which is always possible, but you wouldn't predict that far out. Given the predictive quality of the weeklies and the less than stellar performance of the deterministic models (yeah, they didn't give me enough snow) to date, I'm going with a colder than normal February, but in keeping with the trend of this winter, a fairly quiet month. Not a great one for us weenies here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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