ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 38 minutes ago, George001 said: Yuck I hope that’s wrong That’s not even a bad look for New England. But prob isn’t going to satisfy your blizzard fetish. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: a tick better. prob just need 50-100 mile westward adjustment since the storm wants to run due north We need that PV lobe dropping down to trend a little west to give this room to amplify up the coast. I circled it in the image below 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We need that PV lobe dropping down to trend a little west to give this room to amplify up the coast. I circled it in the image below Waste of a nice pattern if it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We need that PV lobe dropping down to trend a little west to give this room to amplify up the coast. I circled it in the image below One should also look for these isohypses to take on more curved structure/flow exiting the coast, too - I'd actually suggest that is critically missing here... That "might" actually be a correction forthcoming - I was mentioning earlier in the day that the trough between the west and the formulating -NAO is was sans significant S/W input but ...seems the models had an ear to that memo because ever since, we've been trend more as your chart above shows. If it gets much stronger it'll start sending out that curvature ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 These little streamers are pretty fun to see today. One up on Rt. 2 area now. From Berkshire East. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 These little streamers are pretty fun to see today. One up on Rt. 2 area now. From Berkshire East.I know that view! ... we're you IN the lift shack? LolEdit... oh, that's a Webcam. Lol, whoops!You know, it's a view I never get tired of, and OT, but I find it crazy how different it is riding a chair down instead of up. It's got an entirely different vibe. Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, George001 said: Yuck I hope that’s wrong It’s 600 hrs out! That’s all you need to see. That’s major clown range. The week 4 of the weeklies has been notoriously atrocious..I wouldn’t be worrying about that on 2/4, when we’re on 1/10 at the moment. Just enjoy the beautiful look that’s coming presently. Lots of times these great patterns hang on longer than progged, just like they take longer to get established when they’re progged to get going as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: One should also look for these isohypses to take on more curved structure/flow exiting the coast, too - I'd actually suggest that is critically missing here... That "might" actually be a correction forthcoming - I was mentioning earlier in the day that the trough between the west and the formulating -NAO is was sans significant S/W input but ...seems the models had an ear to that memo because ever since, we've been trend more as your chart above shows. If it gets much stronger it'll start sending out that curvature ahead. The tough thing there is that lead shortwave (or shortwaves...I think it is actually two of them, one currently over socal and one over the AZ/Mexico border) is being pretty well sampled right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 last 5 runs of GEFS..that piece up in Canada has been shifting west - but can it continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: last 5 runs of GEFS..that piece up in Canada has been shifting west - but can it continue. Yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Pretty decent tick in the 18Z euro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Then the pattern goes to hell around mid-Feb but obviously that is clown range on the weeklies. Haha, the CFS has a completely different take on the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pretty decent tick in the 18Z euro ya really wish it went out further that was looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Oh good, looks like we got a nice dusting of snow in the past hour to really polish the ice up. Down to 18/12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pretty decent tick in the 18Z euro If you toggle back and forth on the 12z run every single feature in the country moved west 25-50 miles… that is really weird… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Lake effect streamer overhead right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: If you toggle back and forth on the 12z run every single feature in the country moved west 25-50 miles… that is really weird… Does that mean the euro family are leftists? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Another NW move Unfortunately no one uses it to forecast, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pretty decent tick in the 18Z euro Man, we just need that PV lobe to dig a little further west and you’d prob get a partial phase enough to send this right up 70W. Wouldn't take much…I exaggerated the arrows but you get the point 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Lake effect streamer overhead right now. Ya’ snowing pretty good here at the moment. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Ya’ snowing pretty good here at the moment. Ahh see, you do get snow way out there. Looks nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, we just need that PV lobe to dig a little further west and you’d prob get a partial phase enough to send this right up 70W. Wouldn't take much…I exaggerated the arrows but you get the point Kind of like the 8s 5 days out from January 2015. Hook and latter. Can we do this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, we just need that PV lobe to dig a little further west and you’d prob get a partial phase enough to send this right up 70W. Wouldn't take much…I exaggerated the arrows but you get the point its coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: If you toggle back and forth on the 12z run every single feature in the country moved west 25-50 miles… that is really weird… I’ve noticed that in the past too as if it initialized with one too many beers…so the map overlay was off center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately no one uses it to forecast, right? We do since the upgrade . Every piece of guidance is making Friday the deal . Follow the beer bro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: It’s 600 hrs out! That’s all you need to see. That’s major clown range. The week 4 of the weeklies has been notoriously atrocious..I wouldn’t be worrying about that on 2/4, when we’re on 1/10 at the moment. Just enjoy the beautiful look that’s coming presently. Lots of times these great patterns hang on longer than progged, just like they take longer to get established when they’re progged to get going as well. If the long range shows a good pattern its doubted, if it shows a crap pattern suddenly they're accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We do since the upgrade . Every piece of guidance is making Friday the deal . Follow the beer bro Could scrape the east zones for sure. Nothing WOR though…so get sober homie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Looks like the Syracuse area is getting it good tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Could scrape the east zones for sure. Nothing WOR though…so get sober homie. Kind of like Friday huh…when eastern zones were only supposed to get whacked, but WOR gets the scraps. And then I got 9 plus inches. This thing 4 days from now is still up for grabs for everyone in SNE….let’s see how this trends over the next couple days. If it misses, we have many more bullets in the chamber over the next 2-3 weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: If the long range shows a good pattern its doubted, if it shows a crap pattern suddenly they're accurate. Amazing how that’s perceived. So silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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