Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,802
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    DaveJ2002
    Newest Member
    DaveJ2002
    Joined

January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 1/10/2022 at 4:51 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Geezuz what a bunch of Debbie's lol.

Expand  

 

  On 1/10/2022 at 4:51 PM, WinterWolf said:

Lol..everybody was giddy yesterday with the great pattern emerging, and today we have the Debbie’s doing what they do…all because the modeling today doesn’t know what s/w to key in on.  Sure it can all fail…but give me this super looking set up over the next two plus weeks, instead of that shit in December anytime.   We take and appreciate, and let the details work themselves out as we go along. 

Expand  

The two of you putting your feet together and snapping your toes?

 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:01 PM, Ginx snewx said:

How your cutter tucked in last week make out? Negative Nellie's look for a reason to whine. It is what it is but geezuz what a way to live.

Expand  

Not fair, dude.  Who was getting killed all December saying this winter wasn't a lost cause. But you can't just sign off on heavy snow when there isn't strong support for it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:08 PM, tiger_deF said:

What about Sunday? All the other guidance shoots it so far OTS out to the SW that I doubt we would even get cirrus. Definitely favoring Friday, but maybe Sunday-Monday whiffing will help us down down road

Expand  

He didn't mention Sunday...there is your answer 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:08 PM, tiger_deF said:

What about Sunday? All the other guidance shoots it so far OTS out to the SW that I doubt we would even get cirrus. Definitely favoring Friday, but maybe Sunday-Monday whiffing will help us down down road

Expand  

Not even close for Sunday on Ukie...drops a PV lobe down into NE. GGEM did this too on the 12z run.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:11 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Not even close for Sunday on Ukie...drops a PV lobe down into NE. GGEM did this too on the 12z run.

Expand  

Yeah, this is a whole new peregrination to the theme out there..  Wasn't there before - certainly nowhere near as obtrusive... 

Should be noted, there is a telecon drop in the NAO ...  Perhaps +1 --> -1 --> neutral, over the next 10 days, and that vortex's behavior would tend fit that, particularly if the transient blocking pulses over the western limb/D. straight region.

I recall some Euro runs had this 4 days ago but seem to lose it.. .But seeing as the telecon ( American ) has the NAO bounce, I dunno.  More headaches ...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:41 PM, eduggs said:

Take your chances with Friday. Hit or miss, the modeled Ocean storm is already robust enough to interfere with the followup wave.

Expand  

I’m getting ready to resign myself to accepting that Western New England is not getting much snow anytime soon.  
Give me SWFE’s pattern because at least I know how that will play out. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/10/2022 at 5:46 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah, this is a whole new peregrination to the theme out there..  Wasn't there before - certainly nowhere near as obtrusive... 

Should be noted, there is a telecon drop in the NAO ...  Perhaps +1 --> -1 --> neutral, over the next 10 days, and that vortex's behavior would tend fit that, particularly if the transient blocking pulses over the western limb/D. straight region.

I recall some Euro runs had this 4 days ago but seem to lose it.. .But seeing as the telecon ( American ) has the NAO bounce, I dunno.  More headaches ...

Expand  

That is a reason I gave in the blog why the whiff scenario is favored.....the rising heights in the NAO region support that Friday ocean deal hanging around longer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...