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January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
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  On 1/9/2022 at 8:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s going to be a lot of snow over the next couple of weeks before it breaks down late month . Let’s get each one of these to perform starting with Friday 

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Right now at least any breakdown waits until probably the final days of January or early February.    I’d like to see it just revert to Leon.

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  On 1/9/2022 at 8:35 PM, weathafella said:

Right now at least any breakdown waits until probably the final days of January or early February.    I’d like to see it just revert to Leon.

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Ensembles have a super strong signal at the end of their run which is like 1/24 or 1/25. Prob no true breakdown until February if that is close to correct. 
 

Things can always change though. We’ve seen that enough already this season. But I’m pretty optimistic. 

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  On 1/9/2022 at 8:38 PM, weathafella said:

Friday and some Saturday.   Not muthufukkas beyond that time range as they cut off d6.    Fun times ahead-as I told my wife...majority of days rest of January are aob normal vs just the opposite prior.

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Yes the Friday threat is very real . You can see it on all 3 ensembles . If it’s still there tomorrow noon, Will should start a thread on it. 

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  On 1/9/2022 at 8:37 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles have a super strong signal at the end of their run which is like 1/24 or 1/25. Prob no true breakdown until February if that is close to correct. 
 

Things can always change though. We’ve seen that enough already this season. But I’m pretty optimistic. 

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Yes. The remainder of January could be memorable.

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  On 1/9/2022 at 8:37 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles have a super strong signal at the end of their run which is like 1/24 or 1/25. Prob no true breakdown until February if that is close to correct. 
 

Things can always change though. We’ve seen that enough already this season. But I’m pretty optimistic. 

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Sure do ...

I'm wondering if that is just the pattern's apex around that, vs one of those rarities where a signal has so much physical presence in the super synopsis, that it starts showing up at exotic lead times in the dailies ( Sandy, 1993, etc...) - if so, we may begin to see it?   I only suggest because looking at the GEF individual members, some of them have very large deep solutions along the EC...   Like KU on roids 

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  On 1/9/2022 at 9:01 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Pattern is clearly getting to a few...thankfully help from mother nature seems to be on the way.

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He said after the 10th as you recall and did not like this past storm. He admitted his error . It’s no big deal but you are clearly trying to start trouble 

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  On 1/9/2022 at 9:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Coming from the guy who pats himself on the back , issues letter grades on the board for each snow map, and cites his winter outlook in every other post. The most narcissistic poster on the board . Iron clad 

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I'm sorry you feel this way. I try to also reference my failures. I sincerely hope Tolland excels in the coming pattern.

Happy New Year.

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