CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 3:59 AM, IowaStorm05 said: Can that fill in? That’s what the GFS kind of looks like. It’s potency forces it further north and west than it’s supposed to go, but a shallow dry layer eats into the QPF. Expand That is a shit load of dry air to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:06 AM, CoastalWx said: That is a shit load of dry air to overcome. Expand Although I never bought into this one bit…I Love the irony…we’ve been dank and moist for a week straight…and as soon as there’s a legit system, we dry out just in time for it to eat up any possible precip. Can’t make this sh*t up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:06 AM, CoastalWx said: That is a shit load of dry air to overcome. Expand This was the 18z GFS trying to get an inch of snow to IJD. Big omega up at H3-H5 and bone dry H65-H85. Just weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:11 AM, dendrite said: This was the 18z GFS trying to get an inch of snow to IJD. Big omega up at H3-H5 and bone dry H65-H85. Just weird. Expand WTF is this LOL. Ripping the column a new one as it’s dry as a bone. Just odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:06 AM, CoastalWx said: That is a shit load of dry air to overcome. Expand This is the RAP. I must be missing something but this is 700mb air as far as I can see it. It doesn’t look that bad. 850 looks sorta dry tho. I know there has to be an explanation for how I’m probably perceiving this wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Nice MAUL down in AL. No wonder they are pulling TSSN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:15 AM, IowaStorm05 said: I must be missing something but this is 700mb air as far as I can see it. It doesn’t look that bad. 850 looks sorta dry tho Expand See the soundings above. That’s a lot of dry air. Unless somehow the mid level forcing launches north, but I think that’s a tall task at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Also never good to have backing winds with height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 With omega that high in the sounding that dendrite posted, you also get garbage snow growth. Prob putrid bullets and plates which sublimate much faster too when they are trying to overcome dry layers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12z Euro had RH at 700mb around 50% at 18z Mon. vs 10% on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Look at what the Canadian has for Friday…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:48 AM, George001 said: Look at what the Canadian has for Friday…. Expand Yeah well watch that tuck northwest and bring rain to the entire interior coastal plain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 DCA with light rain and 46 as of midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Can we please either post in the panic thread or the 1/7 storm thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 4:09 AM, WinterWolf said: Although I never bought into this one bit…I Love the irony…we’ve been dank and moist for a week straight…and as soon as there’s a legit system, we dry out just in time for it to eat up any possible precip. Can’t make this sh*t up. Expand I know right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Congrats south NJ later today with near zero vis in falling snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Who thought only 4-8”? They’ll be an area of 8-12” maybe a narrow zone a bit more I think near DC to south Jersey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 you can see the precip hitting a brick wall of dry air as it tries to expand, expect nothing from this, but congrats SNJ/MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 At least it feels like winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Enjoy the virga. It's the only virga you've got. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Cold out there. Car said 2F leaving this morning at 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 2:13 PM, powderfreak said: Cold out there. Car said 2F leaving this morning at 7am. Expand This mid atlantic system is going to ruin my day and make my birds cold...just far enough north to be in the thicker overcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Should be a nice 8-12”+. Almost 3”/hr in La Plata MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 2:13 PM, powderfreak said: Cold out there. Car said 2F leaving this morning at 7am. Expand Damn. 27.5F. It's been a week since it's been this cold. Benign low temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 25 here. Cold wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Larry Cosgrove thinks a warmup will occur between Jan 10-17 and then Jan 22-Feb 15 will be really fun for winter lovers in the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Sorry Phin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 A situation like this makes me miss the big guy from The Cape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 On 1/3/2022 at 2:19 PM, CoastalWx said: Should be a nice 8-12”+. Almost 3”/hr in La Plata MD. Expand I’ll never not think of tornado controversy with that town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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