SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 euro was a slight shift south vs 6z but still 4+ for Cape. it's so close to whiffing though so hard to lock in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lovely mud dank. glad we live where there is grass and pavement and mud is confined to where the wild animals sleep and woods are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Wow that has the coldest air in the hemisphere over the Carolinas.Wow that has the coldest air in the hemisphere over the Carolinas. Greatest anomaly ... relative to climo as it were. Not cold - but I think that's what you meant. Anyway, La Nina this or that aside ..that's about the best your ever gong to see 300 hour ens mean. In fact, typically by that long lead we end up with spaghetti that averages more annular looks. That's sick structure for this range ... but one with an aspect ratio, proportional to the endearing winter enthusiast, being the best part lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: glad we live where there is grass and pavement and mud is confined to where the wild animals sleep and woods are. And what did you do outside today. Shitty day and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 First glimpse of sun in forever for about 20 seconds. Another day in the mid 30s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: And what did you do outside today. Shitty day and all took my dog out for a walk. went and grabbed a coffee earlier. been out on the patio a few times checking on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: took my dog out for a walk. went and grabbed a coffee earlier. been out on the patio a few times checking on things. Lipstick on a pig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lipstick on a pig Yeah lol. This is the worst stretch in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lipstick on a pig Livin' la vida loca 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 1:34 PM, dendrite said: I lost 30” in days last year. I’ve only lost a couple inches so far with this. Same on only a couple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah lol. This is the worst stretch in years. My Sequoia loves it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 hours ago, George001 said: The models at 500 are getting closer and closer to a phase with the northern stream, which would drastically increase the ceiling of this storm if it happens. The extremely powerful southern energy is already producing a big storm farther south on its own, but if the northern stream phases in? That would cause the low to undergo rapid cyclogenesis, and the low would indeed move north and west as it deepens, in my opinion more than any model is projecting. This close in I’m looking at the obs, and it looks like the precip out west is more expansive than the models suggested, which indicates possible initialization errors, with the models underestimating the strength of the southern low. This is why I don’t think even areas as far north as southern NH and Maine are out of the woods just yet (for a couple inches, not a big storm, due to fast flow there would be a limit). The earlier than expected deepening of the southern low and the slightly slower progression of it would give the northern stream a little bit more time to phase in, which would cause the trough to go negative, and cause the precip shield to expand more over all of eastern mass. This would result in many areas expected to get a coating or even nothing getting hammered with heavy snow, possibly over a foot. It is no guarantee, but I do think the probability of an earlier phase is much higher than the models suggest right now based on obs and the pattern in place. All it would take is one 30-40 mile adjustment north, which isn’t much at all. Just say "no"..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah lol. This is the worst stretch in years. What have the kids done inside the last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Lol EPS went right back to the low AK heights this run and then torches the country for several days before it reverts back to the good pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: First glimpse of sun in forever for about 20 seconds. Another day in the mid 30s. 4 in a row with thick fog on each one. The snowpack mostly survives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: And what did you do outside today. Shitty day and all Our son has become addicted to disc golf. The last 3 days he has played 18 holes each day. I shake my head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol EPS went right back to the low AK heights this run and then torches the country for several days before it reverts back to the good pattern. How can it flip and do a complete 180 in 12hrs? Oh well..it was a nice potential while it lasted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol EPS went right back to the low AK heights this run and then torches the country for several days before it reverts back to the good pattern. That shuffle was signaled though but not timed well in th earlier guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How can it flip and do a complete 180 in 12hrs? Oh well..it was a nice potential while it lasted. It's why I don't believe any modeling anymore. It's pure entertainment until it's in my face. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol EPS went right back to the low AK heights this run and then torches the country for several days before it reverts back to the good pattern. This is how we know this winter was not meant to be. Runaway called this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol EPS went right back to the low AK heights this run and then torches the country for several days before it reverts back to the good pattern. Ya, I don’t think there’s ever gonna be a good pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is how we know this winter was not meant to be. Runaway called this There are many people who think it warms up again mid month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That push gets the storm track close by on the mean. You don’t need the vortex over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There are many people who think it warms up again mid month. Lol..it hasn’t cooled down yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Hopefully I can squeak out 1-3 from this tomorrow so it can all wash away by Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There are many people who think it warms up again mid month. At some point man.. you just have to look at this winter and realize it’s not happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Here is the mslp that hour. That’s a clipper or redeveloper look. But funny how that one lobe tries for that. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: At some point man.. you just have to look at this winter and realize it’s not happening Just like you were telling me how DC may get shut out about 96 hours before the Winter Storm Watch flew. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just like you were telling me how DC may get shut out about 96 hours before the Winter Storm Watch flew. And you posting “ sure.. I could see that “ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It would be great to see this place if it all just collapses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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