PhineasC Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 NAM basically misses me with the rain and then snows a little. Good run. NAM can be trusted at 48 hours right? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This one isn't going to rat....as frustrating of a start as it has been, I stand by the notion that it will be decent. I mean with storm climo the way it’s been in recent years … one blockbuster should end any debate. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3k is really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 3k is really nice. 00z HRRR went far north with a very blocked flow and snowfall upstream of barriers. It does make sense if it stays north and a bit more mild. The cold air advection in the lowest levels quickly deep into the western sides of barriers, aided by topographic slowing/convergence/lifting, can certainly favor those west of both of us. Depends on when the cold air gets situated. Pre-event CAA we are good on more eastern orientation… later in the event with shallow surface cold hitting first, anything northwest is best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, greenmtnwx said: As confident as December? Exactly, yes. Keep giving me blocks in a la nina and I will take my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Give me that exact December look for the rest of the winter with something less than a record RNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 That 1/3 storm has been steadily backing north and west towards New England on all the global models. Something to watch, maybe a chance of a scrape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: That 1/3 storm has been steadily backing north and west towards New England on all the global models. Something to watch, maybe a chance of a scrape? Then there's the 0z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, eduggs said: Then there's the 0z NAM. True, total miss on the NAM at the moment... but it's at the edge of the 12K range and not in the range of the 3k yet... probably not worth factoring it in for now considering it's not even in agreement with any of the globals on the strength of that low anywhere on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: That 1/3 storm has been steadily backing north and west towards New England on all the global models. Something to watch, maybe a chance of a scrape? Zero interest in that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: True, total miss on the NAM at the moment... but it's at the edge of the 12K range and not in the range of the 3k yet... probably not worth factoring it in for now considering it's not even in agreement with any of the globals on the strength of that low anywhere on the east coast. I think it's a big red flag for anyone in coastal VA, MD, DE, NJ hoping for snow that the NAM continues to be so flat at this relatively short range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Zero interest in that. Really? You don’t care that the 00z gfs clips the cape with some very light snow? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 40 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Zero interest in that. Shocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Shocked. I am interested in the one after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am interested in the one after. Both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 51 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Really? You don’t care that the 00z gfs clips the cape with some very light snow? It does it again at 150 hours roughly. But this time it’s more of a hit into SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: It does it again at 150 hours roughly. But this time it’s more of a hit into SNE I couldn't care less what the OP has at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 These posts...the entire forum is drunk....Happy New Year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: These posts...the entire forum is drunk....Happy New Year! Happy New Year Jerry!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: These posts...the entire forum is drunk....Happy New Year! Happy new year from sober Steve 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Happy new year from sober Steve Happy New Year bud, 2022 has to be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Happy New Year bud, 2022 has to be better. I’m pretty sure I said this last year around this time, and it certainly was not lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m pretty sure I said this last year around this time, and it certainly was not lol I'm pretty sure it will be, Pandemics have a shelf life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm pretty sure it will be, Pandemics have a shelf life. They have a shelf life if people want them to...not sure everyone does. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: They have a shelf life if people want them to...not sure everyone does. When we get to Nov it will, You can bank on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Happy new year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Hard to conjure 2022. I remember as a young boy thinking about 2000 and realizing I'd be in my 50s....thinking oh man-I'll be so old! Now it's 22 years later and I'm 75 and glad to be alive! Bruce in his heyday sang...said it so well..... "For the ones who had a notion-a notion deep inside that it ain't no sin to be glad you're alive" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: When we get to Nov it will, You can bank on it. It will, what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It will, what? End. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It will, what? Elections 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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