Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:24 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Long shot for SNE.....hard sell. Expand 18Z Euro on board with same location secondary wave Ark area. Start thinking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:28 AM, Ginx snewx said: 18Z Euro on board with same location secondary wave Ark area. Start thinking about it. Expand I'll look tomorrow....gotta do Dec recap and January preview. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Gfs sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 10:16 AM, MJO812 said: Gfs sucks Expand Why would anyone buy into a follow up snowstorm wave .. especially in a snowless winter ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 10:50 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Why would anyone buy into a follow up snowstorm wave .. especially in a snowless winter ? Expand You would think at 108 hours the gfs would have a clue. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 10:51 AM, MJO812 said: You would think at 108 hours the gfs would have a clue. Expand It’s there on the GEFS and still on the 6z just SE. Obviously chances are low but it’s still a possibility. Maybe 5-10%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 10:58 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: It’s there on the GEFS and still on the 6z just SE. Obviously chances are low but it’s still a possibility. Maybe 5-10%. Expand Euro has it also but with the fast flow, I doubt anything develops . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 10:59 AM, MJO812 said: Euro has it also but with the fast flow, I doubt anything develops . Expand I think best bet is a few inches south coast. Some massive hits on 00z GEFS skewing the mean it’s highly unlikely but maybe we can get a few inches if everything trends right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Annnnnnndddddddd it’s gone 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 With ea model run, The 01/02 storm looks to be going thru the shredder like the rest have so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Like the look of the GEFS and GEPS in the 10-15. Solid ridge out west … EPS still leaves a lot to be desired IMP.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Yeah that Euro looks like a Pacific flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:11 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Like the look of the GEFS and GEPS in the 10-15. Solid ridge out west … EPS still leaves a lot to be desired IMP.. Expand Dam, that's some nice cold air to our friends up north, I thought that would be on top of us? Seems to retreat? Next thing "Tip" will be saying how warm his car feels in the parking lot..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:23 PM, 512high said: Dam, that's some nice cold air to our friends up north, I thught that would be on top of us? Seems to retreat? Next thing "Tip" will be saying how warm his car feels in the parking lot..... Expand I don’t think you want it over us for a snowy stretch just nearby. With a favorable trough axis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 We certainly don't need or want the core of the cold air mass directly overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Anafront slipping away, but hey, plenty o’ rainers to look forward to on that 6z! Yessssssss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:23 PM, UnitedWx said: Yeah that Euro looks like a Pacific flood Expand Yeah but there’s still a little bit of amplitude particularly in the flow as you get near New England so it looks like we could tap a little bit of that cold air. I like that the two other models are more amplified with WR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:00 PM, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Anafront slipping away, but hey, plenty o’ rainers to look forward to on that 6z! Yessssssss! Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 This is better than a sharp stick in the eye: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:23 PM, UnitedWx said: Yeah that Euro looks like a Pacific flood Expand Its milder than the other two, but I think there would be plenty of cold near by in that look with the orientation of the PV. Could be a decent pattern with latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 11:59 AM, dryslot said: With ea model run, The 01/02 storm looks to be going thru the shredder like the rest have so far. Expand Any hope is like 1/10 and beyond...forget that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Expand Lol, I never bought in # FF. More of a commiserate post wrt to an amplitude of rainers offered up in the near term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:32 PM, CoastalWx said: Expand There are quite a few in the pit already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:38 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: There are quite a few in the pit already. Expand This pattern sucks. Days of 41F and clouds.......just torch the bitch if it's going to be this cruddy. Hoping one of these days this weekend ends up fairly mild. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Any hope is like 1/10 and beyond...forget that. Expand At least, I just don't need heavy rain and models are scaling that back ea run as this one looks to dampen out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 We wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:44 PM, dryslot said: At least, I just don't need heavy rain and models are scaling that back ea run as this one looks to dampen out Expand You can bank on that, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:44 PM, CoastalWx said: This pattern sucks. Days of 41F and clouds.......just torch the bitch if it's going to be this cruddy. Hoping one of these days this weekend ends up fairly mild. Expand Yea, this is the worst...no doubt....completely boring, yet not very comfortable and enticing enough for MJO to keep besieging us with ICON output and bedtime stories about phase 8. Just go 2011 and rip the band aid off...comfy numb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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