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January 2022 Obs/Disco


NorEastermass128
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6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Definitely not anafrontal. One of last years later snowstorms formed like this. Not that it matters but not anafrontal 

 

If there is an actual vortmax at the base of the trof and not just strung out frontal vorticity. And if that vortmax rounds the bend somewhere in the SE and initiates a negative tilt and baroclinic leaf formation, then that is not anafrontal. The 06z GFS was pretty close, but probably fraudulent. Plenty of individual ensemble members show something similar, but we need the other globals to sharpen up if we are to seriously entertain the rain to snow possibility. 

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9 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

It's amazing how many people troll the New England forum. All of the interesting weather that happens to members of this forum happens in New England so I guess it makes sense. Nothing interesting weather wise has happened in NJ, MD, NYC, VA, NC, SC, etc. for literally years so they troll here.

Even people from NE troll this forum.  weird.  

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19 minutes ago, eduggs said:

If there is an actual vortmax at the base of the trof and not just strung out frontal vorticity. And if that vortmax rounds the bend somewhere in the SE and initiates a negative tilt and baroclinic leaf formation, then that is not anafrontal. The 06z GFS was pretty close, but probably fraudulent. Plenty of individual ensemble members show something similar, but we need the other globals to sharpen up if we are to seriously entertain the rain to snow possibility. 

Pretty much what the 12z GFS has this run.

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