NorthHillsWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Run for the ages. Big snow, white Christmas, brutal cold, another big snow, more cold… Unlike previous 4 years we actually have a pattern to support this 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just unreal but we all realize it can go poof on the next run. This board would crash if the Euro showed something similar today lolSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Haha this: 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Just unreal but we all realize it can go poof on the next run. This board would crash if the Euro showed something similar today lol Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Pattern has potential. Models all over the place. Nice to be under a deform band for 12+ hours with 20” of digital snow on a model run though!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Traveling home to Georgia (near Athens) for holidays. Would be ecstatic with that much snow there unless Norfolk gets dumped on like that while I'm gone haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 GEFS looking sexy for the same time frame.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Gefs don’t look as wet as the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Yes, brutal cold if it verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Gefs don’t look as wet as the op. It won't necessarily because of the blend of all the individual members. The key detail with the ensembles is to pinpoint the fact of 1. It agrees with the OP and 2. It is showcasing that time frame is a time to keep an eye on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 It won't because of the blend of all the individual members. The key detail with the ensembles is to pinpoint the fact of 1. It agrees with the OP and 2. It is showcasing that time frame is a time to keep an eye on.Hopefully other globals will catch on!Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Hopefully other globals will catch on! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Canadian has primarily shown this system. 12Z was a swing and a miss however. If EURO shows it this board is gonna go nuts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Surprised to see Brad post this. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Canadian has primarily shown this system. 12Z was a swing and a miss however. If EURO shows it this board is gonna go nuts! Canadian still had the system and it wasn’t too far off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: More snow per 12z GFS on the 26th!! Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk For the record/entertainment since it is still way out in fantasyland (12/26), a large portion of that 2nd storm is sleet/ice during the majority of it within 75-100 miles of the GA-NC coast as 850 mb temperatures are or go above 0C. The 6Z GFS was colder at 850 with more snow but it had a lighter event. Regardless, the 12Z GFS is the 4th with significant wintry precip to the SE coast on 12/26 fwiw (still not much value other than entertainment that far out). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Canadian has primarily shown this system. 12Z was a swing and a miss however. If EURO shows it this board is gonna go nuts!CMC Ensembles were a hit with a jump in the snow coverage from 0zSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomesauce81 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 22 minutes ago, GaWx said: For the record/entertainment since it is still way out in fantasyland (12/26), a large portion of that 2nd storm is sleet/ice during the majority of it within 75-100 miles of the GA-NC coast as 850 mb temperatures are or go above 0C. The 6Z GFS was colder at 850 with more snow but it had a lighter event. Regardless, the 12Z GFS is the 4th with significant wintry precip to the SE coast on 12/26 fwiw (still not much value other than entertainment that far out). I don't think I've ever seen the GFS this consistent with a fantasy storm this far out, especially at the same timeframe. It's definitely caught my attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Beautiful to see that short wave dig further south and west like I was hoping to see when I posted last night. The ensembles have had a storm signal there from the beginning. And the Euro has been all in on a monster storm as well. So I'm convinced there will be a big storm on the east coast in that time frame, the question for us will be can it dig far enough to get that ULL under us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 45 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Surprised to see Brad post this. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk WxTwitter makes it impossible to not address Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Euro ain't gonna cut it this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Gfs vs the world. We know how this usually turns out to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 The Euro doesn't dig it far enough south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We miss both storms on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Euro has a storm and it was close to the result we needed. Take that as a win at day 8. I’d be more worried if there wasn’t a storm to be found. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 12z EURO didn't get it done but it was close! Still plenty of time.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 EURO had a flatter ridge than the GFS, that was the culprit for the missed phase... Now we wait for the EPSSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Gfs vs the world. We know how this usually turns out to be. No it isn't CMC Ensembles increased the snow totals over the Carolinas vs its 0z run GEFS increased vs 6z EURO was close, but we know the EURO OP has been on an island compared to its ensembles so the GFS is far from being alone here. You cannot take the OP runs at face value at this range Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: First true clown map of the year I’m supposed to fly out of Charlotte on December 23rd. This better be wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Well, no matter what happens with the snow, coldest Xmas in a long time seems to be a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Well, no matter what happens with the snow, coldest Xmas in a long time seems to be a lock. You seem to forget 2020. High Christmas day was 30 here in Greenville.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 EPS looks like it isn't going to cut it either... OofSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 500mb vort confirms the trough over Sibera keeps trending stronger, shunting the ridge further east and being the fly in the ointment Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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