BornAgain13 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: What a beautiful bowling ball Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Can someone elaborate on this? Would this turn out good for a Winter Storm with this look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Can someone elaborate on this? Would this turn out good for a Winter Storm with this look? It is a bit farther south than the same feature on the GFS. Not sure what it would have done beyond that time downstream if it would still be very suppressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Looks pretty close to the 12z run to me at the same timeframe. Maybe some baby steps better here or there, but feels like splitting hairs at this leadtime. Definitely very different from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Saw this on mid Atlantic thread.... 18z Euro control for Sunday Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Came north a hairSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Mean now covers the entire state of NCSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just from this storm, 24 hr totalSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18z GFS tracks the upper level low very similar to the March 1st 2009 storm that really hammered Western NC, especially from SBY-HKY-GSO. If that trends continues the upper-level low could become the main show. These type of events can leave some with very little while just a few miles away others really cash in. Like others have mentioned on here, small adjustments in how all this energy interacts is going to play havoc on the models for a few days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 hr 84 on NAM has the same bowling ball upper level low as GFS digging through N. Louisiana and S. Arkansas. If that run would continue I think it would bring some good energy under the mountains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Being in the SE, seems like there’s rarely better snow than what a good ULL rolling through generates. As long as it’s passing south of you. Their dynamics result in amazing rates with nice big flakes that add up fast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 00z GFS cutting upper level low even earlier this run @ hr 69 its already cutoff as it's rolling through TX. Trough axis going more neutral earlier too, might be a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 0Z 84hrs 18Z on the bottom at 90 (same time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 At 96 that 1037HP is now over PA/NY border instead of NY/VT/MA area and from What I can tell it’s gone by 102 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Congrats upstate SC that run and east of 85, def. trended more suppressed south and east. Earlier on in the run upper level went neutral faster but actually went negative later than 18z did. 18z map on the bottom, trend towards Euro that run. This has been the trend for 2 weeks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Congrats upstate SC that run and east of 85, def. trended more suppressed south and east. Earlier on in the run upper level went neutral faster but actually went negative later than 18z did. Yea… Congrats Bennetsville/Wadesboro ect….. again smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Ensembles will tell the tapeSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 00z ICON is still suppressed, but shows signs of the upper level trying to pop some precip in the western part of the state. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Yea… Congrats Bennetsville/Wadesboro ect….. again smh Wadesboro is the new Roxboro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Good run for the GFS. I think the trend today has been positive. This looks like a legit threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 That CLT hole...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 00z GFS looks like it'd be another 1-3 inch storm here in Norfolk. Possibly the 3rd straight weekend with accumulating snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 105 GefsSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 The op and the ENS are coming closer together on that run v.s. 18z run. Further east looking better right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Trend is clear on all guidance so far today, flatter and more suppressed. Rare or not, the suppression train continues. Outside of the initial storm in January, this pattern has been a constant tease for those on the west side of the forum, only for the models to pull the rug inside 5 days and end up with nothing but virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 00z UKMET-painting the heaviest totals in the same spot as the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Trend is clear on all guidance so far today, flatter and more suppressed. Rare or not, the suppression train continues. Outside of the initial storm in January, this pattern has been a constant tease for those on the west side of the forum, only for the models to pull the rug inside 5 days and end up with nothing but virga. Yeah not a good sign for those of us back to the west, esp when op run and ENS start to zero in together or atleast come closer together. Also the 18z EURO lines up pretty well with the GEFS and UKMET tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Does anyone else find humor in the use of CLT? Okay, I guess it is just me... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Yeah not a good sign for those of us back to the west, esp when op run and ENS start to zero in together or atleast come closer together. Also the 18z EURO lines up pretty well with the GEFS and UKMET tonight. The mean does yes…. But still a handful of Jacked up Big dogs in the Ensemble’s…. For now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Does anyone else find humor in the use of CLT? Okay, I guess it is just me...Pink on one side, blue on the other, couldn't resist Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Matches the UkieSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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