burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Looks like the gfs went biblical on lookouts house. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Euro looks like it's going for glory at 144hr, imo. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Euro looks like it's going for glory at 144hr, imo. ??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Euro 12Z for next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Euro looks like it's going for glory at 144hr, imo. I think you mean at 174 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, BornAgain13 said: I think you mean at 174 You could see at 144 at the H5 level it was looking much improved from 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: You could see at 144 at the H5 level it was looking much improved from 0Z. Gotcha... out to 180 looks like it's coming... around the same time as the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Geez... EURO about to explode.... all 3 globals have a monster storm around this period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 12z EURO Is a monster snow storm, western VA, NC, SC, GA.... Edit... then it's a little to warm... ICE and Rain also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 When was that year that the Triangle had a snow storm in January every Wednesday? It looks like we are stuck in a pattern to get a winter threat every weekend now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 ATL goes over a foot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 It all goes kaplooey with warm air for a lot at 198 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It all goes kaplooey with warm air for a lot at 198 I fear any east coast bombs that develop this year will inevitably take on a dreaded messy miller b track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Geez... thats a weird storm. The low blows up inland... the sw NC and VA mts get hammered... east of the mountains, it's ice or rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The low is super strong and its around a time the cold air will be moderating. Will be a big hit for places on the NW side if it comes to fruition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The low is super strong and its around a time the cold air will be moderating. Will be a big hit for places on the NW side if it comes to fruition The evolution of it was weird on the euro... either way, plenty of time to watch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Wish there was more cold air around so this wasn’t so dynamically driven. If it weakens in modeling over time, thinking it becomes more slop and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 If that happened that way , I would probably chase that one... the heavy stuff would be just a couple counties to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 yea verbatim it's a little too amped and inland with the surface low to keep everyone snow. The good thing is I think the odds we miss this storm b/c it's too amped/warm is really, really low. So i'll take this run as a good sign. I'm much more worried the ridge out west won't pump high enough to cause this northern stream energy to dive bomb and amplify that hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 ATL with 20" LOL..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Hopefully some ensemble support will actually start to build for that timeframe cause until then these are just meaningless fantasy runs for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The 12z GFS and 12z Euro both have flakes starting to fly here at hr180.... that kind of agreement is incredible this far out. Almost inside 7 days with this threat too... if we can hold on to this look for a few more cycles... giddy up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbubba Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Looking at that EURO model with the associated wind field and accumulation maps, the western half of NC and SC could see blizzard conditions while the eastern half of that area would see ice that would put that section back into the stone age as far as the destruction of power equipment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Wish there was more cold air around so this wasn’t so dynamically driven. If it weakens in modeling over time, thinking it becomes more slop and rain. cold air out in front of this storm is pretty good, imo. Euro gets too warm b/c of the inland low track and pulling warm air off the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just saying.... all 3 globals. These are the 24 hr 10:1 ratios... the cmc was a little later with the storm...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Point is. Right now, their is a signal for a storm around for next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 That GFS solution would be insane. But I do think it did the best with latching on to our storm today early and better overall than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: That GFS solution would be insane. But I do think it did the best with latching on to our storm today early and better overall than the Euro. I agree with that.... going forward I wouldn't discount the Euro but I will begin to have more confidence in the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 GFS ensemble member out of 30 matches the op run for next weekends potential. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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