burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 actually the 18z GFS is already showing some accumulations outside the mountains... good signs. (mountains will almost definitely do really well with this storm if there is some robust precip). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 12z ukmet is also robust with the precip and has Clemson, SC sounding that looks pretty interesting... it's dropping a quick 1/2 inch of liquid. Euro and CMC keep precip south of our area with the gulf low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonah Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: actually the 18z GFS is already showing some accumulations outside the mountains... good signs. (mountains will almost definitely do really well with this storm if there is some robust precip). FFC has mentioned the possibility for Tuesday morning for about a day or two now. Here's part of this afternoon's disco: The next chance for precipitation will return by Tuesday morning as a southern stream shortwave approaches and its associated surface low moves along the Gulf Coast. At this point, temperatures appear marginal for any frozen precipitation in north Georgia. The current forecast will continue to carry some chance for rain or snow across far north Georgia in far northeast Georgia Tuesday morning, though confidence is low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 12z GFS with another historic snowstorm for parts of GA, SC, and NC at the end of next week. Bring it on. TW Edit: Some places would get a decade's worth of snow if it verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 For shits and giggles for you guys. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, SnowLover22 said: For shits and giggles for you guys. The wouldn’t be able to play the Masters at Augusta if that happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 fantasy land but it’s pretty cool to look at. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 967 LOL: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: For shits and giggles for you guys. My god!!!! 2 feet in Charleston lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: 967 LOL: Is that winter hurricane ???? I wonder what the winds are in Fayetteville at that time lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The time around next weekend to first part of Feb holds the best change for a significant winter storm IMO as the current pattern we are in starts to break down. You can typically count a big storm somewhere as patterns break down and readjust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: 967 LOL: Hurricane Force Wind Gusts. Would be the new storm of the century haha. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Lol that would be the storm of the century. 2 feet in Charleston... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 12 minutes ago, eyewall said: 967 LOL: Borderline Cat 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 18 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said: fantasy land but it’s pretty cool to look at. Fantasy yes, but it has been showing up for the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Fantasy yes, but it has been showing up for the past few days. It has but is still a giant nothing bomb. 24” of snow in Charleston and a 966 low off the SC coast ain’t gonna happen. But we can dream right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, MDsnowPRO said: It has but is still a giant nothing bomb. 24” of snow in Charleston and a 966 low off the SC coast ain’t gonna happen. But we can dream right? The end of time could be next week you don’t know man 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 CMC has a similar storm a few hrs later... a little further inland but both models show some sort of storm around the 200 hr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, MDsnowPRO said: It has but is still a giant nothing bomb. 24” of snow in Charleston and a 966 low off the SC coast ain’t gonna happen. But we can dream right? Anything is possible in fantasy land. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, eyewall said: 967 LOL: We're gonna be chasing snownadoes lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 We need a Valdosta poster to register so somebody can complain about mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jharv Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 23 minutes ago, Amos83 said: The time around next weekend to first part of Feb holds the best change for a significant winter storm IMO as the current pattern we are in starts to break down. You can typically count a big storm somewhere as patterns break down and readjust. Yep, been thinking the same. I wouldnt exactly call this a bitter artic outbreak but historically our best storms come on the tail end of a cold outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Fantasy yes, but it has been showing up for the past few days. The initial effects start at HR 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Cute storm on the GFS. Probably won't verify, but nice to look at for sure!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 16 hours ago, burrel2 said: If we wind up getting a heavy slug of moisture Tuesday morning with that gulf low... go ahead and mark me down as thinking us in NE GA and Upstate SC can possibly getting a few inches of wet snow. Globals have 850 temps wet bulbing to around -2C for that event. There are boundary layer issues and surface temps are showing 36-38 on the global models that give us precip right now. I've seen this show before though and if we do get heavy precip from that low I expect the HI-res models to come in with heavy wet snow. I went back and looked at my notes from the snow we got two years ago, which was a very similar set up. Notice in my notes that no global models ever showed snow for that storm in the medium range... i'm not saying we will get lucky again. 100 things can go wrong here... i'm just saying there is a chance with the Tuesday storm and to not write it off yet. February 8, 2020 3.25 inches all snow 31.5-32.2 all snow, started at 10:15am ended around 1:45pm hi res models showed a dusting to an inch, and warm surface temps. globals showed nothing in the medium range. verified at - 4 850's and -2 925mb. temps rose to 33.5 as it ended. beautiful tree sticking snow Seeing the GFS pretty consistently show that this week, I did think back to this event. One of my favorite of the past few years for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 34 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Fantasy yes, but it has been showing up for the past few days. Is that green blob over the upstate thundersnow?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 CMC has it too, just a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: CMC has it too, just a little later. CMC is a zipper low like we are having right now, Euro is a FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, Snow dog said: Is that green blob over the upstate thundersnow?!? No. Where the blue meets the yellow would be you best chance for thunder snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said: No. Where the blue meets the yellow would be you best chance for thunder snow Gotcha. Well, us upstate folks are in the perfect position, given the inevitable NW shift that will come.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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