WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Into the climatologically hottest period of the year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Into the climatologically hottest period of the year Not a bad look at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Not a bad look at all. For sure, Met! I hope August doesn’t deliver revenge! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 It's literally coming a monsoon 2 miles to the east with at least 1-2 inches of rain the last hour or 2. At my house- sprinkles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 It seems the drought regions of Eastern NC should finally get soaked. When it rains it pours: 3-5" for the coastal plain over the next 5 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: It seems the drought regions of Eastern NC should finally get soaked. When it rains it pours: 3-5" for the coastal plain over the next 5 days We really need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 21 minutes ago, yotaman said: We really need it. I'm cautiously optimistic about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 We really need some rain out this way. We missed out on what the Triad got yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Wetter? https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FXEKPviXwAIeuG2?format=jpg&name=900x900 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 41 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer Meanwhile, GSO only reached 93 yesterday with similar dewpoints. A combination of elevation and cloud debris coming off the mountains has consistently kept high temps much more reasonable (and also at times set up a boundary for storm development) The data backs up my theory. The average high temp in June was 3.2 degrees higher at Raleigh than at GSO (90.0 & 86.8), compared to the historical average having a gap of 1 degree (86.1 & 85.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer It was extremely soupy here yesterday and into night fall. Yesterday evening was only the 2nd evening this year that I haven't been able to walk the pups due to the heat and humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 6 hours ago, olafminesaw said: Meanwhile, GSO only reached 93 yesterday with similar dewpoints. A combination of elevation and cloud debris coming off the mountains has consistently kept high temps much more reasonable (and also at times set up a boundary for storm development) The data backs up my theory. The average high temp in June was 3.2 degrees higher at Raleigh than at GSO (90.0 & 86.8), compared to the historical average having a gap of 1 degree (86.1 & 85.1) Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and Sandhills the big heat was. The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was at historic heat levels. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and upper Sandhills the big heat was. The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was trying to historic. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler. It seems RDU gets big numbers so easily while officially hitting 95 remains rare even in mid summer in the Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 33 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Excellent points. I guess what really struck many of us yesterday was how isolated to the Triangle and Sandhills the big heat was. The Triad was unremarkable yesterday, while RDU was trying to historic. Even normally hottest Fayetteville was cooler. I wonder if urban heat island is a significant contributing factor. The Triangle has had significant growth even in the past few years, since the last major heat wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 Let's go! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 I’m not sure where else to ask this, but my family and I are heading down to Carolina Beach, NC on vacation tomorrow through next Saturday, and my mom is freaking out because Weather Channel is saying rain everyday. Anyone have a more detailed analysis? Is it looking like a (literal) wash next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 Models hinting at a low forming on this front on or near the Gulf Coast. Could be heavy rain somewhere next week in the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 0.39" in Pikeville yesterday evening. The grass is turning green again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 4 hours ago, SoCoWx said: I’m not sure where else to ask this, but my family and I are heading down to Carolina Beach, NC on vacation tomorrow through next Saturday, and my mom is freaking out because Weather Channel is saying rain everyday. Anyone have a more detailed analysis? Is it looking like a (literal) wash next week? Looks wet but I highly doubt it will be a rain out every day. Most likely you will see afternoon and evening thunderstorms daily. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 A nice wet pattern of daily afternoon storms with offshore HP and and looks to continue for the next week or more. I'm enjoying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 What is wrong with GFS this summer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 22 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: What is wrong with GFS this summer? It is nothing new that the operational GFS has a bias to overdo summer highs during hot periods. Also, the Euro op. has done that at least to some extent the past few years. The better bet is to go with the ensemble means because they average cooler than the operationals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 15, 2022 Share Posted July 15, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 GFS problems https://guyonclimate.com/2022/07/14/extreme-temperature-diary-thursday-july-14th-2022-main-topic-why-a-faulty-american-gfs-model-is-leading-to-alarmism/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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