kvegas-wx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 57 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: That would be perfect timing for spring Fescue planting! #winteraintover #itsnowsinmarch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Rates will overcome 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 10 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: I looked at the 6Z GFS …. Poof unfortunately. But maybe there’s another Beast in there That last week of Feb/Early March has been good to Nc more than a couple times in my 30yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Rising heights with this incoming high pressure and that approaching low later this week is going to bring a hell of dose of Summer. Wouldn’t be shocked to see upper 80’s on Thursday here. Time to stock up on Xyzal lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Surprised not many folks are talking about the potential storm the Euro/Eps is hinting at in the 8-10 day range. Yeah it's still far out there but something to possibly track... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 GFS getting that low further west each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just noticed the February 27-28 potential. Right now it looks very similar to the way the last system panned out. The low too far offshore and the potential for some flurries as the upper level energy swings through. Something to watch for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Sure does look similar. Positive tilt not quite digging west enough yet. There is time and a chance of course. This has been the pattern lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 0z Canadian was a pretty big hit. 6z GFS trended slightly wetter too, actually fairly significant west shift again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Definitely something still there around 27th. Still need to see a few more runs. Going to be awfully warm leading up to it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 It's the real deal guys... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 12z GFS shows a decent hit for Virginia this weekend. Not far off from being something bigger. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 21 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 12z GFS shows a decent hit for Virginia this weekend. Not far off from being something bigger. Something to watch. Mega concerns with the cold push east of the mountains with that upper level low over the Great Lakes being the fly in the ointment but good lord that model sucks. Watch it’s last 4 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Lowly ICON has the storm as well but just too warm. Snow in Virginia though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 12z Canadian coming in much more amped and much warmer (looking like GFS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 GEFS looks decent, but I think this is a 10-20% type proposition 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 16 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: GEFS looks decent, but I think this is a 10-20% type proposition Agreed, but definitely a signal there now. Something to track at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Ukie is a big hit for triad areas through Virginia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 EURO is a good run but it’s cold chasing precip. Verbatim central NC, Triad, and most Virginia folks would be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 I wish it was closer to go time but the Euro is a great storm with plenty of qpf. Verbatim it drops 1.5-2” of qpf across the northern half of NC and central VA. Definitely potential out there for the 28th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I wish it was closer to go time but the Euro is a great storm with plenty of qpf. Verbatim it drops 1.5-2” of qpf across the northern half of NC and central VA. Definitely potential out there for the 28th 14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: EURO is a good run but it’s cold chasing precip. Verbatim central NC, Triad, and most Virginia folks would be happy I wouldn't call it cold chasing moisture necessarily (and all the issues that come along with that). It's just that the storm is too far north. A really good run though, with the way things had been trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Definitely a good run from the Euro up this way... will be interesting to watch future trends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I wouldn't call it cold chasing moisture necessarily (and all the issues that come along with that). It's just that the storm is too far north. A really good run though, with the way things had been trending. Definitely nice having Dr. No in your court. Last 3 systems the Euro has said “Nope” and turned out correct. Key takeaway for me is there is consensus now across most modeling (Ukie, GFS and ensembles, CMC, Euro, ICON lol) that there will be a storm around that timeframe and there is some cold air to work with. Way too far for specifics but this is about as good agreement at this range as you’re gonna get 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Definitely nice having Dr. No in your court. Last 3 systems the Euro has said “Nope” and turned out correct. Key takeaway for me is there is consensus now across most modeling (Ukie, GFS and ensembles, CMC, Euro, ICON lol) that there will be a storm around that timeframe and there is some cold air to work with. Way too far for specifics but this is about as good agreement at this range as you’re gonna get Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Can someone post a surface reflection or snow map of European operational? The 500 mb looks a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Can someone post a surface reflection or snow map of European operational? The 500 mb looks a little better.Around 7 AM Next Monday 12Z EUROSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Around 7 AM Next Monday 12Z EURO Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Thing of beauty though temps are very marginal (850’s and Surface) but that’s also how we rip big dendrites and rates in the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 2:09 PM, jlewis1111 said: Amazingly similar look to todays 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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