JoshM Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 What's making this trend colder, do we have some pseudo wedge or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Its increasing big time on every model I have seen. Could be a lot of people caught off guard tomorrow morning going to work in Hickory, Lincolnton, Shelby You are exactly right and we've been seeing it for days but most of the mainstream news has just blew it off. I get it, we are use to seeing these setups trend away at the last minute, it's unusual to see it go the opposite way towards more ice for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, JoshM said: What's making this trend colder, do we have some pseudo wedge or something? I think it's more moisture being picked up by the models and more evaporative cooling taking place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 It's more moisture more than anything else. You can tell by the current radar the trends are sending bands up into western SC. I wonder if I'm too far west. If anything falls here it will be frozen or freezing on contact. Its 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Latest HRRR keeping sub freezing dewpoints into the later morning West of 77 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Sounding for HKY tomorrow morning at 8 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Temperature is rising here rather quickly now. Up to 28.9/23 now after being down to 27.4/20 only half an hour ago. Who knows what will happen in the morning… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 WWA currently doesn't include Wake.. But the RAH discussion states: Given the aforementioned setup... where the subfreezing temps already exist north of the Albemarle- Sanford-Franklin line... it appears that is the area that will have the best chance to see a brief period of light freezing rain before waa allows precip to change to all rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 FWIW, latest RAP has Charlotte at 0.28 freezing rain, was 0.04 last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, JoshM said: FWIW, latest RAP has Charlotte at 0.28 freezing rain, was 0.04 last run Yep increased ice totals and area now for 5 runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 The King has Brought the V-Day event back for this upcoming Weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Score one for the Short Ranges…..31/24 here in Mooresville , Radar looks decent , Raining now…..Fwiw latest Hrrr didn’t initiate with enough moisture compared to radar in CLT Metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Score one for the Short Ranges…..31/24 here in Mooresville , Radar looks decent , Raining now All elevated surfaces frozen here and cars especially. Schools on a 3hr delay now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Welp…. Here they come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Welp…. Here they come Listening to scanner several accidents here now ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 27 here but no precip yet.Deep Gap fire shut down 421 due a 20car pileup. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 3 hours ago, PantherJustin said: The King has Brought the V-Day event back for this upcoming Weekend GFS has a look on this too albeit not as far NW from the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 For me this is unprecedented as to what is occurring, specifically with the GFS. I mean not even close with precip. All the probs have been hiked up to 80-90% up this way and the temp is still sitting at 23. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlh Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: For me this is unprecedented as to what is occurring, specifically with the GFS. I mean not even close with precip. All the probs have been hiked up to 80-90% up this way and the temp is still sitting at 23. We had hours of snow flurries at 38 degrees yesterday just across the border from Chesapeake, VA (and reports in Hampton Roads) with a coastal trough that none of the solutions called for precip. NWS AKQ was just a surprised as I was. Interesting stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: For me this is unprecedented as to what is occurring, specifically with the GFS. I mean not even close with precip. All the probs have been hiked up to 80-90% up this way and the temp is still sitting at 23. Before I fell back asleep… I saw 6Z GFS didn’t even initiate right also , still didn’t have barely any Precip into CLT Metro …. That thing is junk man lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 31 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Before I fell back asleep… I saw 6Z GFS didn’t even initiate right also , still didn’t have barely any Precip into CLT Metro …. That thing is junk man lol Hrrr, Rap sounded horn last night then NAM came in. Also the WRF-ARW2 was pretty spot on with temps and moisture. Of course RGEM was first to sniff it out. Euro was definitely better than GFS as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Pretty solid snow/sleet mix occurring right now. Starting to accumulate on everything, roads included. Not looking for much but it’s still winter weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 I had some light mix here this morning (it got down to 35), at least I can say I saw some Feb. flakes and am 500% above climo on the winter for snowfall... Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 GFS goes back to back for NC Super Bowl fun and games! Not a huge one but perhaps getting RDU to climatological average if 2.5-3” is verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: GFS goes back to back for NC Super Bowl fun and games! Not a huge one but perhaps getting RDU to climatological average if 2.5-3” is verified. Yes, nice look at 160hrs+ I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 56 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Hrrr, Rap sounded horn last night then NAM came in. Also the WRF-ARW2 was pretty spot on with temps and moisture. Of course RGEM was first to sniff it out. Euro was definitely better than GFS as well. Got around .05- .08 inch here solid little event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Clark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Flow too fast, waves too flat. Feel like this will continue through the rest of the winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Look at the last frame of the 500MB Vorticity of the 12z UK It looks like it was about to deliver a big storm for Super Bowl Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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