jlh Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 20 minutes ago, Tacoma said: GSP says the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier. Wasn't it the GFS that has been most dependable this winter? GSP says even though we'll have to watch the Saturday Sunday time frame. AKQ said the same thing, I think what is important to remember is that it is the current outlier, and we are still a ways away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 23 minutes ago, Tacoma said: GSP says the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier. Wasn't it the GFS that has been most dependable this winter? GSP says even though we'll have to watch the Saturday Sunday time frame. Ensembles are converging on a general track solution now. Looks like a I-85 East special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Out to the 108 now…. Open your tab for happy hour …. That 1037HP is now on MA/NY border Instead of Central Maine….. yep…. To 120 now, whole board gonna like this lmao 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I hate the GFS for teasing the upstate like this. Ugh 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ik we shouldn’t bc It’s a surface map and Too far out but man that’s pretty …. Put a foot on Davidson… granted a lot of Sleet probably 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 18z GFS looks like a snow to mix to rain set up for south Hampton Roads with the low hugging the coast. Need it to scoot offshore just a bit more! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 18z GFS is pure x-rated porn for the upstate, banding feature just crushes the I-85 corridor... easily all snow on the soundings with some room to spare. Here's the kuchera totals... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Snow starts ripping in the Upstate at 10pm Saturday night on the GFS... that's only 105hrs away. Please, please... just this once let the models converge on this solution! 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ozmaea Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Chris Justus is downplaying it but he is saying keep a eye on that low Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Would love for the GFS to be right but I really hate the Euro isn't on board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Would love for the GFS to be right but I really hate the Euro isn't on board. Yea ….. I’d love for anything else to be on Board at this point . Crazy it won’t budge though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Would love for the GFS to be right but I really hate the Euro isn't on board. Yea.. objectively I don't know what way I think this will go. It's unsettling that the Euro/CMC/ICON basically have trended worse to basically nothing today. Ukmet still has a decent storm but both it and the gfs have trended less amped as well. Maybe we get a windshield wipe back the other way tonight... and settle on a decent event in between. fingers crossed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 More/less the models are actually in very good agreement now on most of the 5h features/timing etc... it really just comes down to really small scale interactions and orientations of the vorticity lobes within the small shortwave as it pinches off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Clemson, SC sounding during the heaviest part of the storm... yes please! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 20 minutes ago, burrel2 said: More/less the models are actually in very good agreement now on most of the 5h features/timing etc... it really just comes down to really small scale interactions and orientations of the vorticity lobes within the small shortwave as it pinches off. So...model mayhem for the next for days then.... Cool, cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The GEFS definitely showing more of signal on this run as well. The Op run has 6-8 hours of ZR for the Triangle.: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Trending east and weaker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, eyewall said: The GEFS definitely showing more of signal on this run as well. The Op run has 6-8 hours of ZR for the Triangle.: Not a lot of ensemble support. Lots of pretty dry panels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, CaryWx said: Not a lot of ensemble support. Lots of pretty dry panels Yeah but gaining support slowly. The Mean has a storm now with wintry precip. We are still a good distance from the event for sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, eyewall said: Yeah but gaining support slowly. The Mean has a storm now with wintry precip. We are still a good distance from the event for sure. Doesn't sounding for rdu support a longer period of ip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Doesn't sounding for rdu support a longer period of ip Yeah could end up with more sleet in reality. That has happened a lot in these events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I would take a light ZR event to keep the weekend streak alive (would make 3 weekends in a row)Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: I would take a light ZR event to keep the weekend streak alive (would make 3 weekends in a row) Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 4 here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Considering my hot streak...Do I start the thread or waitSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Not that I trust the weather channel, but for Cary they are showing 1-3 inches of snow for Saturday night followed by up to an inch on Sunday with some sleet and freezing rain possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 By my untrained eye, the 18z Euro was setting good for Sunday. Someone else with more experience can elaborate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 17 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Considering my hot streak... Do I start the thread or wait Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Lord no …. Lol no threads till atleast 3-4 straight Runs of agreement imo 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 What a beautiful bowling ballSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: What a beautiful bowling ball Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Well I guess im staying up till 2AM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now