Maestrobjwa Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 See this is when having access to model runs can be bad for the snow weenie brain...lol Things happening on a run that aren't actually happening in real life but feel like they are in that moment...and thus the visceral reactions, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This one is ours. Everyone needs to just accept it and move on.SE subforum already made a thread. Rookie mistake 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CntrTim85 said: Looking good this time in Chesapeake! Too bad my ass will be at Disney. I wouldn't "lock this one up" - I've seen plenty of storms go north at the last minute. It's like a curse of the models. Really sucks when you live in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: SE subforum already made a thread. Rookie mistake That's the best news you guys could ever ask for 6 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: SE subforum already made a thread. Rookie mistake They've had a thread for awhile now lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I couldn’t give enough laughing faces that’s hilarious. What a freakin bomb. NC nuked off the planet I just want yall to know that buddy1987 here is cheating on us in the SE Forum. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: SE subforum already made a thread. Rookie mistake Phenomenal news for us! Love it. We know what happens next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 That's a true DC skipper. Nails every one from CLT to RIC, PHL, NYC, BOS. What at time...Let me bring out my were too far south...too far north...too far east...too far west bit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 All it would take, change only one thing, leave everything else the same, move that bowling ball out of the ne just a bit earlier, and this becomes a MA to NE HECS. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 27 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: Reel yourself in man. Kind of uncalled for to post this in here and everyone knows the vax is ill-conceived or at the very least ineffectual. Everyone I know has stopped taking it unilaterally but they already got most people early on. lol get this garbage out of here. 7 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I just want yall to know that buddy1987 here is cheating on us in the SE Forum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: All it would take, change only one thing, leave everything else the same, move that bowling ball out of the ne just a bit earlier, and this becomes a MA to NE HECS. Facts Facts Facts 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I think we get excruciatingly close, but still no cigar The positive changes wrt to SW over the conus is being offset by continued negative trends with the flow to our northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You hate to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I just want yall to know that buddy1987 here is cheating on us in the SE Forum. Perks of being on the border of Mid Atlantic/Southeast crew line.. and I can also say being a proud member of American Weather and Eastern US weather since the early 2000’s qualifies me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 I’m still stunned at the massive changes occurring in all of the models. These aren’t minor shifts. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Didn't we do this around Christmas 2011? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 If this run verified it would be a combo of March 2001 boxing day dec 2000 and dec 2018 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The positive changes wrt to SW over the conus is being offset by continued negative trends with the flow to our northeast. I think the part in the ne is the part most likely to be wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 17 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Anybody who even pretends they know what is going to happen or is even likely to happen if full of it. This is wild, huge swings It bugs me that 1980 keeps showing up in analog packages. What happened that year I hope to never have to experience. 2 HECS and 2 MECS storms all hit NC/VA and miss north of DC. But I know no 2 years are the same and my “fear of fringe” is clouding my judgement. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: It bugs me that 1980 keeps showing up in analog packages. What happened that year I hope to never have to experience. 2 HECS and 2 MECS storms all hit NC/VA and miss north of DC. But I know no 2 years are the same and my “fear of fringe” is clouding my judgement. This is unusual. Are you ok? 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: It bugs me that 1980 keeps showing up in analog packages. What happened that year I hope to never have to experience. 2 HECS and 2 MECS storms all hit NC/VA and miss north of DC. But I know no 2 years are the same and my “fear of fringe” is clouding my judgement. ETA: alsi I am biased towards wanting more amplified because if I miss a storm to the north at least it helps ski resorts and I can go find powered. A storm missing south does me absolutely no good in any way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This is unusual. Are you ok? lol just admitting my bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I think the part in the ne is the part most likely to be wrong If the flow relaxes some it will be a big storm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I'm ok with this, but than again I also did good boxing daySent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, alexderiemer said: I'm ok with this, but than again I also did good boxing day Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Ban this 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I turned to rain and had 0 snow at the end of 2016 if that makes u feel betterSent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Remember, they always come north. Well, except when they don't, but they ALMOST always come north. Okay, so maybe not almost, but they OFTEN come north..... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 every outcome under the sun possible on the p-type maps. I’ll let someone smarter properly analyze the goods but my rookie read was the GEFS looked more suppressed than previous runs. though of course noting this is still sorta early in the overall window 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: every outcome under the sun possible on the p-type maps. I’ll let someone smarter properly analyze the goods but my rookie read was the GEFS looked more suppressed than previous runs. though of course noting this is still sorta early in the overall window All we care about right now are the precip maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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