aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 On 1/8/2022 at 12:20 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Big ones are locked in early yadayada I've been away for a bit how's this one looking? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 17 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I've been away for a bit how's this one looking? The real question is what kind of BS is DT going to spill tomorrow? I’m sure he’ll blame Covid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The problem with being in a really good pattern is the expectation that we get a winter storm watch every 3-4 days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, I'm not sure that post was well thought through. Now I have to root for union bridge busts. I didn't make these rules. Just following. lmao! Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 NAM. I don’t even know how to analyze that. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: NAM. I don’t even know how to analyze that. The Wintercane will be an Apps runner by gametime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: NAM. I don’t even know how to analyze that. *runs to look* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 The NAM usually is at its best when it’s on it’s own … planet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Its whacked out. Just retire the damn thing already. Sometimes I honestly feel like I could stick a paint brush in my dogs mouth and let him go to work on a piece of canvas and it would be more accurate. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The NAM usually is at its best when it’s on it’s own … planet. The NAM is being run from Elon Musk's Tesla which is en route to Mars. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The difference in the s/w position between hr 78 on the 00z and 84 on the 18z run is just slightly different. What's 200 miles between friends eh? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The NAM usually is at its best when it’s on it’s own … planet. But.....it nailed the NW extent of the 2016 Blizzard!!! Blind squirrels, nuts, and something something 2000.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The difference in the s/w position between hr 78 on the 00z and 84 on the 18z run is just slightly different. What's 200 miles between friends eh? NAM says … hold my beer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 15 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The difference in the s/w position between hr 78 on the 00z and 84 on the 18z run is just slightly different. What's 200 miles between friends eh? The 0z mostly just looks slower with the progression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, eduggs said: The 0z mostly just looks slower with the progression. Yeah. Much slower at that. NAM might just being NAM things. It tends to do that at range, so I wouldn't even consider it unless there's a trend with other guidance. Then I'd raise the eyebrows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 We are getting some pretty big swings in guidance. ICON continues that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 These 2 have been fighting since 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: It can still change but we’re probably about 24 more hours of this trend continuing from me putting the MLK weekend threat into the “highly unlikely moving on” category. The trend we don’t like has actually been happening steadily for like 3 days. This was the look I really liked 3 days ago. Look at the spacing between the trough digging into the central US and the through over the Atlantic. Also note the hints at a weak low over the Canadien maritime. Just enough to prevent cutting but not suppressive. Plenty of room for that to amplify but the axis of the whole pinwheel around the PV is far enough east I wasn’t too worried about a cutter. Plus note there is stj energy phased up with the trough. That was a really good look. But look at the latest run. Everything went the wrong way. The stj got left behind. The Atlantic trough trended slower and the one digging into the US faster. There is no space to amplify now. Look at the flow over New England now v what was advertised 3 days ago. They are all subtle typical errors for that range but they all went the opposite way of how we wanted. If this spacing issue continues to degrade I don’t think we’re that far from this being in the very unlikely category. Tomorrow it will be inside 100 hours. Huge longwave errors start to become less likely after that imo. I’d like to see improvement by 12z tomorrow. Uh oh, almost time to trot out "your" hamburger disco from last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, Ji said: These 2 have been fighting since 1999 Reel yourself in man. Kind of uncalled for to post this in here and everyone knows the vax is ill-conceived or at the very least ineffectual. Everyone I know has stopped taking it unilaterally but they already got most people early on. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Ok yall. Stop it right there. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Here comes another big swing. Huge h5 changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Here comes another big swing. Huge h5 changes Considerably slower at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just a wee bit different I would say. This is going to be a whiplash week me thinks.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Here comes another big swing. Huge h5 changes This is the fun part. Every 6 hours, we get a new prize 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The eye of death stills stares at us from afar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Hold on...hold on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 What a beast for Nc through 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: What a beast for Nc through 132 I think we get excruciatingly close, but still no cigar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: I think we get excruciatingly close, but still no cigar This week will take some patience lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Flirting with a BOMB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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