stormtracker Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: I think we might like this run a little better looking at the H5 panels Nope. H5 better, but still flattened/kicked/smooshed/regal beagled I have never hated an inanimate object more than I hate this ocean low. I'm legit inconsolable. Thank God none of the output today will likely be the final outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Is there anybody here we can offer as a human sacrifice to the gyre to get it to move faster? Vice regentSent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 We get that system off the coast to speed up and get out of the way, and we’re gonna have an event this weekend. The gfs is also doing a lot of phasing and retrograding of that system that the other models don’t seem to be doing. Instead of it becoming a 50/50 it’s becoming more of a 50/65 and it’s squashing the next one right off the coast. There still a good shot IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, alexderiemer said: Vice regent Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Nah. Let’s just sacrifice him as part of a normal Monday workday. We can pick someone else for the weekend event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Consolation snow on the GFS. wow, a whole 2 inches. Somebody go ahead and take that slowball. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 540 in Georgia and we rain? Its having troubles figuring out whats going on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Consolation snow on the GFS. wow, a whole 2 inches. Somebody go ahead and take that slowball. Uh...you okay dude? Lol I recommend turning on the 5th symphony. It helped me in my neroutic snow weenie outburst last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, WhiteoutMD said: 540 in Georgia and we rain? Its having troubles figuring out whats going on Not that it matters, but I'm sure that's just an error on the model and the soundings would show snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Uh...you okay dude? Lol I recommend turning on the 5th symphony. It helped me in my neroutic snow weenie outburst last week Around here it would be the 9th! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Not that it matters, but I'm sure that's just an error on the model and the soundings would show snow. No it doesn't matter, but that is just TT p-type suckage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stradivarious Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 25 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Or maybe @Jebman will jump into it with his shovel a'la "Sharknado" and save us all! My son did the special effects and had 2 cameo appearances in sharknado 3 …he is in the credits. He posted on his Facebook something to the effect “to all my classmates who moaned and groaned that they would never have a use for calculus, I just wrote a computer program that will render 2 million sharks per second in a tornado.” 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Looking at H5 on CMC, this weekend deal should be good for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Looking at H5 on CMC, this weekend deal should be good for us. Yeah it's a hit. Moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Looking at H5 on CMC, this weekend deal should be good for us. Does look like the Canadian should be a good outcome for Saturday, 1/15. Big hit for Southern VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looking at H5 on CMC, this weekend deal should be good for us. I'll take it, but I'm confused as to how the surface reflects what's going on at 500. Is it because the flow is flatter behind that big storm that in it on the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 35 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nope. H5 better, but still flattened/kicked/smooshed/regal beagled I have never hated an inanimate object more than I hate this ocean low. I'm legit inconsolable. Thank God none of the output today will likely be the final outcome. You're right, it's going to go even lower. Sub 930 or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Take a look at the temps on the CMC, dropping into the teens during the day as the storm gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 GEFS has a better h5 look once again Precip mean is starting to show a legit signal for the event 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Uh...you okay dude? Lol I recommend turning on the 5th symphony. It helped me in my neroutic snow weenie outburst last week My bad. I was just talking about weather on a weather board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GEFS has a better h5 look once again Precip mean is starting to show a legit signal for the event Agreed!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, mattie g said: I'll take it, but I'm confused as to how the surface reflects what's going on at 500. Is it because the flow is flatter behind that big storm that in it on the GFS? This. I was confused at all the talk of a hit because I was just looking at H5 and never checked surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: No it doesn't matter, but that is just TT p-type suckage. To be clear, this isn't a big deal in any way, but it's not a TT issue. They're using the p-type information directly out of the GFS (and do that for all of the models) and not are computing it on their own. In lighter precip, the GFS can sometimes overmix the lower levels and warm them up a bit too much, and that appears to be what is happening in that example. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Agreed!!! P18 is having a party.. that belongs in the digital snow thread.. its kinda absurd lol not for our area ofc but still the wildest output I've seen for a given ensemble member within 100hrs, needs no further discussion ig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: No it doesn't matter, but that is just TT p-type suckage. It is BS but Chuck had one good nugget mixed into his typical word salad this morning which was it’s not that cold given the pattern. The frame he pointed out had a 1040 high in southern Quebec/Ontario with a NW flow and storm off the coast and it was only “average” temps here. I can pick out several days where the “pattern” says it should be a truly bitter cold day but it’s like 40 in DC. That’s not necessarily 100% relevant to any discreet snow chances since a 40 degree surface temp on a sunny day isn’t relevant to what it would be while precipitating when the dew point is like 12* but it’s still worth mentioning, as @WxUSAF has also noticed, how hard it is to get REALLY cold around here lately. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: P18 is having a party.. that belongs in the digital snow thread.. its kinda absurd lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: My bad. I was just talking about weather on a weather board. Ok so you’ve identified the problem, next step is what to do about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 This is the one I'm looking at. If we have a -EPO/+PNA pattern the last week of January, this will be a big snowstorm probably. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: Math is hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: It lands the snowicane in Massachusetts. Results are extraordinary, but not for us. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Agreed!!! P13 looks fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now