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January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

 

Ok:

Da F*ck wrong with y’all? You giving up over one run of the Euro?

the pattern is set, ain’t no jive ass model gonna change that. DC getting 3-5”. Periodt. 

This is a well done translation

How are you ole buddy? Many days since that meeting up at Baltimore Harbor.  Nice to be in a wintry pattern and have discussions about snow. 

 

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12 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

This is a well done translation

How are you ole buddy? Many days since that meeting up at Baltimore Harbor.  Nice to be in a wintry pattern and have discussions about snow. 

 

I was hoping you'd have a laugh at it.  I'm good, living the life.  Hopefully we'll have another Lake chase again!

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4 minutes ago, baldereagle said:

      Karma is such a bitch that it could boomerang, potentially, unfortunately redirected, right back at you. I proffer to you a slight varaition---- "I hope you get something." Leaves one wondering. 

       We all want you to get something. 

it was a light hearted joke, but thank you. 

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13 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

Is there a reason stuff seems to happen when the NAO changes from positive to negative and negative to positive? Or is that just the way weather works?

I've heard it echoed by the more experienced minds on here that a lot of our best storms come as the pattern starts to breakdown/reload...Now I'm guessing next week we'd be going from negative to neutral? (someone feel free to chime in)

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28 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

Is there a reason stuff seems to happen when the NAO changes from positive to negative and negative to positive? Or is that just the way weather works?

Yes, there's a very well studied reason. Heather Archambault did the initial research IIRC. You'll here the term "Archambault Event" around the forum. By simplist definition it's a big east coast storm that occurs during an NAO phase change. Our area likes it when the NAO goes from neg to neutral (or positive)

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11 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Trough might be a little too far east, but definitely a chilly look!  Maybe clippers?

Maybe. Weak split out west with some waves undercutting the pna ridge. When you pump the PNA like that with a CPF extension the cold will be there in the East. A well-timed phase would work. But I wouldn't kick a clipper out of the sack either.

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