IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Steve25 said: I will say that it's very nice to finally see a forecast with plenty of days hanging in the 30s for highs. I'll take any taste of winter ❄️ I know right? Have we had that in the past 5yrs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 hours ago, Vice-Regent said: You are the one who understood it before I did. You even admitted that we are f***ed. I started to enjoy your posts for a brief moment. No one is debating that it’s getting warmer and snowing less. But you exaggerate and talk about nothing else. No one in here has the ability to wave a magic wand and fix it. So all you’re doing is harassing people who mostly agree with you. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 The Euro is trying but just can't get the scent. If the GFS pulls this off, The Euro will drop a couple notches. Next Friday? I'll start paying attention about Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @CAPE? Go ahead. I suck at starting threads lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12z EPS looks good. After the 12z suite, one would have to think confidence is growing for a low end moderate event for southeastern portions of the region, assuming low level temps cooperate. Still some room for adjustment NW of the significant precip but probably limited at this juncture. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12z EPS looks tasty for Friday. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 56 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Not a bad problem to have, but might want to divvy up all these pending threats into separate threads. Why don't we wait for some consistency first? 51 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s not dead. C’mon dude, that’s not you lol. I'm just not feeling it. I think it's dead, Jim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @CAPE? Just now, stormtracker said: Why don't we wait for some consistency first? or what WxUSAF said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I was referring to the late week thing btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 If both storms show DC missing each time then we know it will happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Gotta love the RGEM trolling us Winchester folks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 18Z HRRR 1 7 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Snowmadness said: 18Z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: 18Z HRRR That would really throw a wrench in things now wouldn't it? The axis is much more SW/SSW to NE versus the more west to east swath's we've seen. Would make sense given some of the better h5 looks on the good runs this past week and with the streams separating a bit giving this room to climb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Woah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 42 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Gotta love the RGEM trolling us Winchester folks. 19 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: That would really throw a wrench in things now wouldn't it? The axis is much more SW/SSW to NE versus the more west to east swath's we've seen. Would make sense given some of the better h5 looks on the good runs this past week and with the streams separating a bit giving this room to climb. Both of you have hit on trends that to me are obvious. Further north and west and the attempt to turn that precip more up than out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: I know right? Have we had that in the past 5yrs? I'm right near Baltimore, and I do recall a VERY COLD stretch of weather at the very end of December/beginning of January in 2017/2018. It didn't escape the 20s for like 10 consecutive days. I think there were a couple days in the teens as well. I specifically remember it because a major lake nearby froze completely over. Honestly the last memorable winter event I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: or what WxUSAF said. Think it was time for the Monday event even though it will probably only crush our spirit. Friday storm thread is crazy talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 37 minutes ago, Steve25 said: I'm right near Baltimore, and I do recall a VERY COLD stretch of weather at the very end of December/beginning of January in 2017/2018. It didn't escape the 20s for like 10 consecutive days. I think there were a couple days in the teens as well. I specifically remember it because a major lake nearby froze completely over. Honestly the last memorable winter event I can remember. Probably the favorite weather event of my life so far. Had shore ice developing at the Outer Banks. Lakes froze over in Wilson which is in the NC coastal plain. Hit 0F at my house one night after a snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 46 minutes ago, Steve25 said: I'm right near Baltimore, and I do recall a VERY COLD stretch of weather at the very end of December/beginning of January in 2017/2018. It didn't escape the 20s for like 10 consecutive days. I think there were a couple days in the teens as well. I specifically remember it because a major lake nearby froze completely over. Honestly the last memorable winter event I can remember. Yeah I remember the same! It was cold enough to bust the pipes at the church I was the music director at at the time (that was a huge mess that took the church the rest of the year to clean up) It was downright bone-chilling--awesome wind chills too! But that was the most recent stretch of artic cold we had...so it's been a little while! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Big -EPO at the end of the 12z GFS ensembles run. I had a -NAO analog signal for January, so it might go more -AO/northern Greenland+ridging in medium/long term trend. Watch Jan 15-25 to maybe be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 The next one might be big. Maybe more problematic along the immediate coast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Uhhhh, 18Z GFS? It's gone completely full in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 GFS looks like multiple days of subfreezing highs and single digit lows next week, especially south and west of DC. I'm sure lots of that depends on the 6-12" of snow it projects being on the ground as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 GFS for the late week potential 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 GFS for both storms. Would be pretty epic. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, IronTy said: GFS for both storms. Would be pretty epic. This would be more snow than the last 2 winters combined for some areas. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: This would be more snow than the last 2 winters combined for some areas. If it happened this way it would be better than anything down here for the past 20yrs outside of 09-10. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: This would be more snow than the last 2 winters combined for some areas. More than the last 3-4 winters here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: More than the last 3-4 winters here Exactly, almost more than everything since 09-10 combined here. 14-15 would disagree but it's not too far off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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