WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 If you were looking for hope, the SREFS are not it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: We can will it north. We have plenty of time to build up our inevitable disappointment. It only stays south when we want it to come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 Trough sharpening ever so slightly on NAM. No clue whether it’ll matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Trough sharpening ever so slightly on NAM. No clue whether it’ll matter It did indeed sharpen a bit from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 More neg tilt this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 15 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: More neg tilt this run! Didn’t make a difference still too positive and south. But better than previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 It’s ok we got a lotta mo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 26 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Trough sharpening ever so slightly on NAM. No clue whether it’ll matter And the answer was no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: It’s ok we got a lotta mo And very little ti Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChillinIt Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 CRAS is AMPED & Juiced!!! https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_ref_m_loop.html 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 I'll throw this in here. At this range and especially with the apparent continued uncertainty, the ensemble mean may provide some hints of whether this trends better in the next few runs. This might suggest a bit better. Gets over an inch of snow just up to DC and over to Dover. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And very little ti The truth is I have no idea if the short range models would pick up on h5 this far out. I would think soon however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, ChillinIt said: CRAS is AMPED & Juiced!!! https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_ref_m_loop.html You are my new favorite poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: I'll throw this in here. At this range and especially with the apparent continued uncertainty, the ensemble mean may provide some hints of whether this trends better in the next few runs. This might suggest a bit better. Gets over in inch of snow just up to DC and over to Dover. 30.25 over DC is snow production perfection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Everyone needs to get a drink ready for 18z. Either way it’s going to be needed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Everyone needs to get a drink ready for 18z. Either way it’s going to be needed Most important happy hour run of 2021. Beer already in hand. Let’s do this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Icon kicks us off. It’s slightly better at h5. But not gonna do it is my call at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 If we could improve a tick every run from now until game time who knows. I think the Icon improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 25 minutes ago, ChillinIt said: CRAS is AMPED & Juiced!!! https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_ref_m_loop.html What the neck is the CRAS? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, cbmclean said: What the neck is the CRAS? It’s a slight misspelling of a crap model. 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 RGEM still juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: If we could improve a tick every run from now until game time who knows. I think the Icon improved. Trending better and better the GFS is gonna be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 Been a long, long time since the CRAS got posted 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The zonal flow is pretty brutal here. If something does manage to come north and produce a 6"+ event in DC It'd be very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Been a long, long time since the CRAS got postedWasn’t it the first to see the surprise storm that came up the coast I think 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Gfs looks like may improve slightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 H5 on the GFS is slightly better vs 12z.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: H5 on the GFS is slightly better vs 12z.. More separation from that NS Vort. Slower SS. Will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: H5 on the GFS is slightly better vs 12z.. Maybe close to the money shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 So much damn precip at 60..gonna be painful seeing that slide south of us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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