stormtracker Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Well, 0z suite isn't off to a good start. NAM slides south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 WB 0Z NAM is weaker and further south compared to 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 The NAM reminds me of a dog chasing its own tail. Just never can quite get there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well, 0z suite isn't off to a good start. NAM slides south Luckily it’s the … 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Luckily it’s the … SE VA deserves a snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: SE VA deserves a snowstorm Sure they do 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, yoda said: SE VA deserves a snowstorm Other than the GFS, none of the other models are supporting a snowstorm for our latitude. People should not get their hopes up. Even in SE VA, you can cut the accumulation at least in half due to warm ground and temperatures above freezing for most of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Well, 0z suite isn't off to a good start. NAM slides southWe always hit a crossroad. A better trend or a worse trend. Its almost always the worst trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Other than the GFS, none of the other models are supporting a snowstorm for our latitude. People should not get their hopes up. Even in SE VA, you can cut the accumulation at least in half due to warm ground and temperatures above freezing for most of the event. I'm not... just been checking in. I'm not expecting any snow for another 2 weeks IMO. If we get something Monday, cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, yoda said: SE VA deserves a snowstorm No. They don't. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 17 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z NAM is weaker and further south compared to 18Z. Congrats Alamaba Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 WB latest GEFS extended….hopefully a lot to track during January.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 WB latest GEFS extended….hopefully a lot to track during January..I heard weeklies canceled winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I heard weeklies canceled winter There is still a cool period on the weeklies… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 WB latest short range Canadian brings some mood flakes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Weeklies and extended ensembles are useless IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 28 minutes ago, Kleimax said: Congrats Alamaba I think we knew it was a long shot. 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest short range Canadian brings some mood flakes. It’s the location that matters to me. That says we are not out yet. Not for another 15 min or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: Weeklies and extended ensembles are useless IMO. I agree if you are looking for one snowstorm. Look the overall winter pattern this year stinks, but we need a little luck to get a decent storm that would make most happy. January does not look as warm as December. We are getting some PNA help, MJO support, and going into prime climo…again we don’t need or normally have bitter cold to accompany our snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 There is still a cool period on the weeklies…Woo-hoo 1 week of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I agree if you are looking for one snowstorm. Look the overall winter pattern this year stinks, but we need a little luck to get a decent storm that would make most happy. January does not look as warm as December. We are getting some PNA help, MJO support, and going into prime climo…again we don’t need or normally have bitter cold to accompany our snowstorms. I don’t really want to turn this thread into a debate on weeklies/extended ensembles but for me, the LR has been flopping around so what’s the point in putting faith in a 4 week map right now? Sure, another data point to ingest but I put no confidence in them. Again just my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest short range Canadian brings some mood flakes. Um... 2" is mood flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: 19 minutes ago, Weather Will said: There is still a cool period on the weeklies… Woo-hoo 1 week of winter WB 18Z GEFS. There are 6-7 of the members I would take through The 15th and call January if not the winter a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, yoda said: Um... 2" is mood flakes? Lol. The Rgem was a nice step in the right direction comparing it to its 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 GFS won't be as good as the 18z run looking at h5 at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 WB GFS at hour 54 compared to 0Z last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Nope sw looks weaker and more positive tilted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Just now, yoda said: GFS won't be as good as the 18z run lookingvat h5 at 66 Disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: GFS won't be as good as the 18z run looking at h5 at 66 Compared to last night not as good, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 How a model can't handle the simulation of a large sw 84 hours out is beyond me. Fix the gfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 the gfs is not to be trusted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now