WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ji said: 33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z has a better shortwave presentation than 6z, but it’s farther south. Move it north a bit and the result is more like the 0z storm. That could be one of those rare setups that actually has a north trend at the end for us Possible. A stronger shortwave will increase ridging ahead and tend to move it north. GGEM wants nothing to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Member 6 looks reasonable to me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Guys chill. We all know a storm could smoke OBX and there will still be a deathband over Winchester and Highstakes land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 12Z GFS, I will give on up the southern storm for the next storm the following week… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 50 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: It'll trend north. It’ll trend gone 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 31 minutes ago, H2O said: Guys chill. We all know a storm could smoke OBX and there will still be a deathband over Winchester and Highstakes land You are now my favorite poster 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 38 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS, I will give on up the southern storm for the next storm the following week… Yeah. And it is followed with sub zero temps. I would take that and call it a winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 disregarding not lucking into a nov/dec snowstorm by now, the gfs does have some trackable systems through mid january...at least until it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Well at least we'll be in the game during the start of prime climo when we don't completely suck. MJO finally getting to 8 is a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 12z has a better shortwave presentation than 6z, but it’s farther south. Move it north a bit and the result is more like the 0z storm. Euro also has a sharper shortwave than 0z, but much too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Miller B screwjob incoming on the Euro for late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 We won’t have a definitive idea until after about 12z tomorrow IMO. The pieces that are responsible for this don’t really start coming together for about 36 hours. There’s always hope but for now at least it looks like a slider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Intuitive 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 hours ago, H2O said: This was the only boat I could find You're gonna need a bigger boat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 long range euro ens look meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: long range euro ens look meh But the pac looks good…isn’t that what everyone wanted??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: But the pac looks good…isn’t that what everyone wanted??? I'm content with it looking good...even if other things line up to don't help us this time. It's better to see it can still relax sometimes instead of being non-stop the way it has been! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But the pac looks good…isn’t that what everyone wanted??? It’s a temp map. 850 at that. And it’s 360 hours. Not worth a minute of thought. 7 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But the pac looks good…isn’t that what everyone wanted??? Where's the cold arctic air on that map though the whole continent is flooded with warm Pacific air. If it was a good Pacific pattern you wouldn't have low heights over AK. That looks like a positive EPO, positive PNA pattern. PNA good but EPO not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 And whatever it is, anything, literally, is better than this … 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Where's the cold arctic air on that map though the whole continent is flooded with warm Pacific air. If it was a good Pacific pattern you wouldn't have low heights over AK. That looks like a positive EPO, positive PNA pattern. PNA good but EPO not good. It’s not a height map. So … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s not a height map. So … Oh would of loved to see the height map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 12Z GEFS and EPS have the late next week threat (whether the trough will be deep enough to snow for our area remains to be seen.) Look the pattern has changed. (We have actually seen more rain in 2 days this week then we have over the last six weeks.). Now we need to see if we can get some luck. Longer term, GEFS unlike EPS has another trough. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 44 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: long range euro ens look meh That flow looks straight out of the arctic and still AN at 850…have to chuckle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 19 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Oh would of loved to see the height map. I would too but I don’t have access to maps that far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18z NAM looking surprisingly threatening for some of you guys. Pretty noticeable change from last run. Much sharper southern stream shortwave. I hope it's real. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 For the EPS huggers, one more map. It does not have to be bitter cold in January for snow, just cold enough…a little below normal for the five day period ending January 12 may be enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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