Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,792
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
 Share

Recommended Posts

27 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I hope the EPS continues to be wrong….WB 12Z.

A3C95E4C-4692-4944-A20C-788C91602AF7.png

So it’s a coincidence that for the last week when the eps and gefs was spitting out means with 6-10” and weenie run after weenie run you were too busy to post them…but you’re Johnny on the spot when it spits out the first truly awful run in quite a while?  

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

So it’s a coincidence that for the last week when the eps and gefs was spitting out means with 6-10” and weenie run after weenie run you were too busy to post them…but you’re Johnny on the spot when it spits out the first truly awful run in quite a while?  

I post a lot of snow maps, both good and bad.  Actually I am happy with January.  It was cold  and I have  about 10 inches to date.  Would love a big storm by mid March though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Being a lawyer, I will post exhibit A to prove to PSU and to others with selective memory that I do post positive EPS Maps as well.

 Several times the mean was 6 inches and zero snow fell within the forecast timeframe. Beyond these maps the only thing worse is the surreal control model. Never is it even close to reality.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, frd said:

 Several times the mean was 6 inches and zero snow fell within the forecast timeframe. Beyond these maps the only thing worse is the surreal control model. Never is it even close to reality.  

I think the ensembles have shown the colder pattern very nicely but for storms I don’t think they are any better than just looking at the global models.  They flop around like a fish also.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Not sure if anyone posted or cares about it, but ukie at the end of the run looked interesting as well. Cold front pushing east and nice looking wave out west

500hv.conus.png

This is also the same wave the gfs ended up turning into the monster. (The one near four corners)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows?  Im going to make a safe bet:  It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z.  

Washed-out northern stream wave that gets kicked out by a trailing wave and southern stream energy left in the Southwest.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows?  Im going to make a safe bet:  It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z.  

Washington/Jefferson Storm Redux. We'll all be partying like it's 1772. 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Wait hang on what's the Jefferson storm? Gotta look that one up!

It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said:

It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though.

Daaang...and that would be exactly 250 years next week, lol (looks like it was sometime between January 26th and January 29th that year). So two historical dates: 100 years since Knickerbocker, 250 years since Washington/Jefferson!

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...