Scraff Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Don't forget SVFECS: Shenandoah Valley Fringed ECS And don’t forget NEMDPECS: Northeast Maryland Pummeled ECS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Scraff said: And don’t forget NEMDPECS: Northeast Maryland Pummeled ECS We’ve been royally screwed ever since that phrase came about. I believe in karma now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Scraff said: And don’t forget NEMDPECS: Northeast Maryland Pummeled ECS Oh man! All the others made me laugh! That one made me mad! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: And don’t forget NEMDPECS: Northeast Maryland Pummeled ECS I was literally posting this IDENTICAL post when I saw yours, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: It's believable the GFS could be mishandling S/S energy and its release, but the release of that energy to phase w/our system is like 48-54 hour lead, pretty short. Then again, we ask ourselves...can the Euro and its EPS be that off as well with it? Look at these. This is at hour 66. Notice the sws on the euro, both ns and ss are deeper. That translates to a deeper h5 about 24 hours later. For me it’s all about the depth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 whatever.. I dont know what I'm talking about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Jebman said we are on a heater. I’m going with the Euro Jebman blend over the GooFuS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: 12z GEFS supports the op from a mean perspective. More strung out trough which would indicate energy being held to the SW. After how they preformed last storm that is probably a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: whatever.. I dont know what I'm talking about Look, if you’re going to post this stuff, at least post better maps. PLEASE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z CMC going the wrong way so far also. Holding back the SW vort a little more. NS not as diggy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Since everyone is here, can anyone explain these ripples in the clouds. My first though was ridges but these ripples show up in places where there are no ridges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 You all can crucify me later for waving the white flag. Weather isn’t just models and you know that as well. Our base state and the speed of the flow argues against a Euro like solution and phase. 18z last night was it’s peak there with amping our wave. Happy to eat my words if needed but under normal circumstances we’d be ready to call this one. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Oh man! All the others made me laugh! That one made me mad! I’m so sorry. I’m not good with people mad at me. Please forgive. Lol. Anyway—let’s hope the Euro brings back all the good vibes for everyone….and we start a thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Since everyone is here, can anyone explain these ripples in the clouds. My first though was ridges but these ripples show up in places where there are no ridges Gravity waves? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You all can crucify me later for waving the white flag. Weather isn’t just models and you know that as well. Our base state and the speed of the flow argues against a Euro like solution and phase. 18z last night was it’s peak there with amping our wave. Happy to eat my words if needed but under normal circumstances we’d be ready to call this one. Time of Death: 1:05 PM kidding but not kidding but seriously... I won't know what to think if the euro holds serve still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Canadian yakked up maple syrup this run. See yall at 1pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You all can crucify me later for waving the white flag. Weather isn’t just models and you know that as well. Our base state and the speed of the flow argues against a Euro like solution and phase. 18z last night was it’s peak there with amping our wave. Happy to eat my words if needed but under normal circumstances we’d be ready to call this one. Quoted for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You all can crucify me later for waving the white flag. Weather isn’t just models and you know that as well. Our base state and the speed of the flow argues against a Euro like solution and phase. 18z last night was it’s peak there with amping our wave. Happy to eat my words if needed but under normal circumstances we’d be ready to call this one. If one is expecting an HECS as the Euro has depicted, then I agree that idea is trending the wrong way. But I think we’re still in the game for a 3-6” type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Canadian has the southern stream wave approaching Mexico City this run lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Unfortunately RGEM held the vort back more this time as well. Could be a downer 12z when the Euro comes in but hey maybe if the GFS is so good now, it could be keying in on something Sunday to cheer us up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Since everyone is here, can anyone explain these ripples in the clouds. My first though was ridges but these ripples show up in places where there are no ridges Ruffles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 22 minutes ago, The Ole Bucket said: Waves just screaming through over the weekend. This one tries to get up the coast but like the other system right before it, gets kicked OTS. Wild to watch storms try to get it together and run up but get shoved away. So basically a bunch of chaos...but I do hope we don't completely swing and a miss on all of these. But like Chill said, even if we don't get the Euro boon scenario, any one could poof into something short range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 As I see this, the discrepancy is at least equally in the NS. If you look, the models that have this feature less sharp and deep are the ones that differ so much from the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Ruffles Sour cream and onion? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Ruffles Looks more like the bottom of somebody's shoe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS looks better for Sunday night. euro sucks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Since everyone is here, can anyone explain these ripples in the clouds. My first though was ridges but these ripples show up in places where there are no ridges These are called gravity waves, or cloud streets: https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/wmovl/vrl/tutorials/satmanu-eumetsat/satmanu/cms/ClStr/index.htm 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 The CMC actually has the ss farther east than does the Euro at hour 66. I’m becoming more convinced that this is a ns issue rather than ss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 23 minutes ago, H2O said: Or a sidegrade from 2005 till 2016 or so when the euro said MECS in the 84-96 hour range...you bought a snowblower 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: GFS looks better for Sunday night. euro sucks. Wouldn't that actually be Saturday night/Sunday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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