NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:01 PM, MillvilleWx said: I don't think it's curtains yet, but there will be a limit in the NW expansion of the precip field if there is limited phasing between the split streams. NS vort actually improved, but as long as that SS vort is getting a tan in MX, the max potential will be position in the SE corner of the sub-forum. Still better than 24-36 hrs ago. Expand How is it possible both the Euro operational and EPS are out done by the GFS ? I thought from a physics standpoint they are superior to the GFS especially at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 This is clear as a bell. The foreign models all look similar. The Americans the same. But completely different from each other. Fascinating wondering why. Just compare them at h5 and you’ll see it plainly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:03 PM, stormtracker said: It really is amazing...the differences this relatively close to the event. Expand Agreed. I say we take the GFS's better handling of the northern stream and combine it with the Euro's newfound enthusiasm for ejecting southern energy from the Southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 lOOK At the Pacific though Sorry guys, but warmer Winter's are coming 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:05 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: This is clear as a bell. The foreign models all look similar. The American the same. But completely different from each other. Fascinating wondering why. Just compare them at h5 and you’ll see it plainly. Expand The NAM at 12z really improved the N/S as well and did release the S/S energy vs 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:03 PM, H2O said: The GFS is keeping all the spacing between vorts so there are like 4 distinct pieces on h84 Expand and not one will probably give us snow. too much of a good thing is a bad thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:06 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: lOOK At the Pacific though Sorry guys, but warmer Winter's are coming Expand Thanks for the update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:05 PM, frd said: How is it possible both the Euro operational and EPS are out done by the GFS ? I thought from a physics standpoint they are superior to the GFS especially at this range. Expand GFS got a sizeable upgrade earlier last year. Might have vastly improved it. We also don't know the final outcome of the next set of storms, so everything is still in play. GEFS still needs the upgrade though, so there will likely be differences compared to the deterministic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:06 PM, DDweatherman said: The NAM at 12z really improved the N/S as well and did release the S/S energy vs 6z. Expand Look at the depth of the trough foreign vs American Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:06 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: lOOK At the Pacific though Sorry guys, but warmer Winter's are coming Expand STFU Chuck 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:06 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: lOOK At the Pacific though Sorry guys, but warmer Winter's are coming Expand Maybe Pacific beachfront property is the way to go for you so you can monitor it up close and personal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 I look at it as a seesaw. Ones not going up unless the other is going down. Deeper, sooner, sharper is what we need. That’s my view of it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:08 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Look at the depth of the trough foreign vs American Expand The GFS really has improved drastically this year. Sadly, we'll like what we see on the GEFS most likely re: what @MillvilleWxjust said about them not being upgraded. May explain why 6z GEFS had some good hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:08 PM, MillvilleWx said: GFS got a sizeable upgrade earlier last year. Might have vastly improved it. We also don't know the final outcome of the next set of storms, so everything is still in play. GEFS still needs the upgrade though, so there will likely be differences compared to the deterministic. Expand Now it seems the GFS and Euro traded places wrt to holding SW vorts. The GFS really is the new Dr. No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:09 PM, stormtracker said: STFU Chuck Expand I think he and Avanti live in the same basement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:08 PM, MillvilleWx said: GFS got a sizeable upgrade earlier last year. Might have vastly improved it. We also don't know the final outcome of the next set of storms, so everything is still in play. GEFS still needs the upgrade though, so there will likely be differences compared to the deterministic. Expand Yeah but its not as if that upgrade now makes the GFS stuff the Euro into a locker. If anything it just leveled the playing field some so that it wasn't Giannis posting up on Steph Curry in the paint 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:09 PM, stormtracker said: STFU Chuck Expand i told you...give him his own thread to post his drivel in! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Meanwhile what the frickle is the GFS trying to do with this? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:09 PM, anotherman said: Maybe Pacific beachfront property is the way to go for you so you can monitor it up close and personal. Expand rain all the way up to land at the coldest time of the year.. we started it in 2014/2015 then there was a Strong El Nino in 2015-16, followed by 6 years of strongest -PNA on record -300 vs -220 #2. This is maybe round 2. when the rain hits land the biggest part of the trenddifference is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Think I’ll just hang until the euro before I take the route, or the seeming outlook of some here, that it’s set in stone and over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rollenwiese Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 -> Interjection: I know HECS = Historic ECS, but what do the remaining acronyms expand to: (BECS MECS (Major?) etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:08 PM, MillvilleWx said: GFS got a sizeable upgrade earlier last year. Might have vastly improved it. We also don't know the final outcome of the next set of storms, so everything is still in play. GEFS still needs the upgrade though, so there will likely be differences compared to the deterministic. Expand Is it too late to “deupgrade it” and go back to the prior version? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 *** OH NO... CANCEL ALEET ALEET *** 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:12 PM, rollenwiese said: -> Interjection: I know HECS = Historic ECS, but what do the remaining acronyms expand to: (BECS MECS (Major?) etc? Expand biblical, major, significant 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:11 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Meanwhile what the frickle is the GFS trying to do with this? Expand Maybe that’s the one to key on? A few small adjustments and boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hows the h5 relative to the NS? Keep it on the DL, but the roabs are missing for the SS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:10 PM, H2O said: Yeah but its not as if that upgrade now makes the GFS stuff the Euro into a locker. If anything it just leveled the playing field some so that it wasn't Giannis posting up on Steph Curry in the paint Expand But didn’t the Euro also get an upgrade? Maybe it was more like a downgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:12 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: rain all the way up to land at the coldest time of the year.. Expand You need your meds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:11 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Meanwhile what the frickle is the GFS trying to do with this? Expand That southern vort that hangs back ejects behind the northern stream vort and becomes a weak coastal. Basically what might happen if the wave in the south does hang back. Enough spacing to allow it to come north before being kicked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now