DownpourDave Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:16 AM, Ravens94 said: Icon appears to be better then 18z Expand Don't believe it... it is Iconning us! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Eh....The ICON left more energy in the SW than 18z. Good for the south eastern part of the forum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Rgem looks like would be ok. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:26 AM, LP08 said: Eh....The ICON left more energy in the SW than 18z. Good for the south eastern part of the forum. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Even if the ICON showed a flush hit, I’d still ignore it. Same with the NAM (which sht the bed for this weekend’s event). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Ok, real model time... 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:31 AM, stormtracker said: Ok, real model time... Expand About 1:15 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:16 AM, Ravens94 said: Icon appears to be better then 18z Update looked better ended up little weaker and same as 18z in terms of placement Expand I’m not trying to discourage model analysis, but yours is incorrect way to often to give much credence to it. Obviously there’s more s/w energy held back from 18z… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Guys medium range forecasting is easy. You simply ride the snowiest model and if it doesn’t happen you just claim that it was bad luck, highly unusual outcome and then start talking about the upcoming pattern and how there will be lots of chances. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The euro and ensembles are going to fail. We all know it 1 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:46 AM, Ji said: The euro and ensembles are going to fail. We all know it Expand that has been the trend this year. Less of a letdown if you expect it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 can already see some improvements on the GFS. Let's see if she holds 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:46 AM, Ji said: The euro and ensembles are going to fail. We all know it Expand Well.... the gfs won't be caving to the euro tonight. Euro up next.... something has to give.... I wonder which model blinks first? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:51 AM, stormtracker said: can already see some improvements on the GFS. Let's see if she holds Expand improvements yes but not a cave.... id feel a lot better if the gfs moved to the euro faster..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:51 AM, stormtracker said: can already see some improvements on the GFS. Let's see if she holds Expand NS at 54 is digging further west. A step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:52 AM, SnowLover22 said: improvements yes but not a cave.... Expand huh? you got the GFS that far out already? Who said anything about a cave? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:53 AM, stormtracker said: huh? you got the GFS that far out already? Who said anything about a cave? Expand I got the sense people were hoping the gfs would move more toward the euro than it did but your right no one said such thing. There are improvements on the gfs at h5 which is a positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:56 AM, SnowLover22 said: I got the sense people were hoping the gfs would move more toward the euro than it did but your right no one said such thing. There are improvements on the gfs at h5 which is a positive. Expand Thats literally what it's doing right now. It may not get to where we want it, but it has been trending toward the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB 0Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Lol gfs making some moves. West with ns..east with ss. Lets see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 May not do it this run but i like the trend 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Pretty stark changes at 81 at h5. NS considerably further west and as JI said...SS coming out quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:58 AM, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GFS Expand I don’t know anything about weather maps. What’s that lovely blue thing in the middle of the country?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 You guys are giving up on the run so soon lol. I see a pretty big shift at h5 hr 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 3:51 AM, stormtracker said: can already see some improvements on the GFS. Let's see if she holds Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 This is a pretty substantial move toward the Euro 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 00Z GFS 18Z GFS 18z EURO 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:00 AM, Weather Will said: WB GFS Expand Oh boy, it’s taking on a swollen blue shape at the bottom. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Vastly different than 18z gfs. Good changes tonight 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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