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January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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If the euro ULL close off idea is right, we don't have as much to worry about with losing latitude as yesterday. H5 has nice highway tracks running SW-NE without a convex "bend. This is a good setup for an elongated moderate event. Anyone in the right highway lane will get a good total. Distribution of snowfall would be more uniform. Just need the hose pointed at your yard

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If we're blending, things look quite good. But I am giving some serious stink eye to those EPS members that go up the bay. Don't need another trend into a Harrisburg hauler! BUT if that did come to pass, it seems like the track would support longer snowfall before any changeover, and it seems less likely this would ride all the way up to western NY and would rather eventually scoot off the coast, so maybe that nets us a snow, rain, snow event. Standard terms and conditions with back end snow apply, all purchases final.

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6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

1040 high north of NY at precip start :popcorn:

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-mslp-2809600.thumb.png.51059f75ce34c758bd808de37369a0ee.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-2809600.png

This is a lot better setup leading in than yesterday. An actual cold air pump feeding the storm. There's a lot to like but tricky part is snow stripe will prob be narrow. Statistics and odds and stuff. Lol. Otoh, eps has some closed off bombs. Those def don't have narrow stripes. Haha

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