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January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

if this is truly a non-event and the EURO is showing 20" 5 days out we need to write a protest letter to the EU, or whoever is in charge of it. 

The differences in h5 are already incredibly apparent at hr 84. Check out GFS vs Euro for that timeframe. Those differences amplify very quickly afterwards

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2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

if this is truly a non-event and the EURO is showing 20" 5 days out we need to write a protest letter to the EU, or whoever is in charge of it. 

It really is a topsy turvy world now and shows how the Euro kinda warped it's rep.   Before, it would be reversed and I'd shit on the GFS and start getting excited today.    Now, it's like....meh, I need the GFS on board.

What a time to be alive. 

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3 minutes ago, BryanInMd said:

Seems the difference between the euro and the GFS is early on.  At 66 the euro seems to be slightly slower and/or more amplified with the NS which allows the downstream interaction and phase with the Baja UL low pulling it along for the ride

 

Screen Shot 2022-01-17 at 1.26.28 PM.jpg

Good post, thanks. So using this side by side, which model would you take over the other for 66 hours out?

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5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Yeah the Kuchera might be playing a role 

Yeah, it certainly looks like a cold system at low levels (surface temps in the 20s), but as we know, what do the thermals aloft look like, and in particular, the lift in the DGZ? Waaay to early to quibble over those details -- the 850/700/500/250mb setup looks terrific, as does the surface low track. Reminds me a little of the Jan 26 1987 system (2nd one)...the cold Miller A that isn't overly explosive going up the coast. At least for now..

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

No, but seriously yall.  In normal times, this forum would be going kinda nuts with this Euro run.  Now, we're all sitting back, passing a J and like....

"oh.  that's cool. Where are the Doritos."  

i'm exhausted, tbh. its been 2 weeks of non stop model watching. nice to see the euro still showing snow. ill post more later in the week. :) 

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