yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 06z GFS says thanks but no thanks for the weekend system chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 38 minutes ago, yoda said: 06z GFS says thanks but no thanks for the weekend system chance However, it would appear that the 06z GEFS would be much better than the 00z GEFS looking at the 24 hour accumulated precip and comparing the two at hours 132-144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 06z EURO h5 at 90 (farthest out the OP goes... EPS will go out to 144 in a little bit) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 84 hour NAM has snow for Thursday... lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 hours ago, csnavywx said: The general evolution towards a slider is great news. Certainly better than the enormous cutter with a wrapped WCB we were stuck with this time. Sliders suck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 hours ago, yoda said: I mean... this is nice already I mean sooner or later the euro has to get something right, doesn’t it? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Sliders suck. Agree. Go with a full sized bun and a proper piece of meat. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Agree. Go with a full sized bun and a proper piece of meat. I like them on Hawaiian rolls 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 06z EPS is going to be better than the 00z run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 06z EPS is going to be better than the 00z run 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 lol 06z Euro Control is a monster hit for the entire LWX CWA 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: lol 06z Euro Control is a monster hit for the entire LWX CWA 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: lol 06z Euro Control is a monster hit for the entire LWX CWA 8 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Those ratios probably would be too low lol... 06z EPS Control has temps between 17 and 24 for just about everyone (S MD is in mid 20s)... pure cold smoke, so Kuchera would be ridiculous if there was one 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Keep enthusiasm realistic guys. This is the euro. Not exactly top of the line 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Oh good god yea! That’s a solid run!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Keep enthusiasm realistic guys. This is the euro. Not exactly top of the line Return of the King 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: Those ratios probably would be too low lol... 06z EPS Control has temps between 17 and 24 for just about everyone (S MD is in mid 20s)... pure cold smoke, so Kuchera would be ridiculous if there was one EPS track would suggest a cold smoke event for inland areas , actually even coastal areas would cash in according to the EPS. But, it is early amd would like to see additional models jump onboard. However, the pattern does support a storm in this period, and the time frame after this as well. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 No interest till the gfs gets on board 4 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Does the European control ever matter? I think it is notorious for 2 to 3 foot snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 7 hours ago, HighStakes said: Euro is a 4-8 inch storm Starting late Friday night through Saturday morning. Cold storm like last night's run. Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 42 minutes ago, yoda said: lol 06z Euro Control is a monster hit for the entire LWX CWA I know you already know this but the control run should never really be used as guidance. It is used for perturbation in the individual ens members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 35 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Keep enthusiasm realistic guys. This is the euro. Not exactly top of the line And the euro control on top of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Can someone explain the point of the Euro Control if it shouldn't be used as guidance? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 The times have really changed when the Euro shows a big storm less than 5 days out and nobody is excited until the GFS shows it. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 17 minutes ago, Ji said: No interest till the gfs gets on board You aren't wrong. GFS has been taking the euro/eps to the cleaners this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: The times have really changed when the Euro shows a big storm less than 5 days out and nobody is excited until the GFS shows it. GFS is the old Euro from 5 years ago. CMC is the old GFS with a fantasy storm every run that usually doesn't materialize Euro is the old GFS and plays catchup to the others. Don't ask how we got here, but here we are in 2022. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Southern stream is involved on the gfs but phases too late. There is a backup plan showing up next week with a better trough alignment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Can someone explain the point of the Euro Control if it shouldn't be used as guidance? The control is a very low resolution from what I recall: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/documentation-and-support/medium-range-forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 I think we can all agree that the GEFS should not be used for this storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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