Rhino16 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:25 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Can ya imagine the level of neruoticism if we could spin every hour? (Insert 03z GFS...lol) Expand Not going to imagine that. 4 times a day, plus NAM, and twice Euro, 2 more for 6z and 18z run for all the power weenies out there, and I think we have enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NH obliterated on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:28 PM, jaydreb said: NH obliterated on this run. Nice widespread 4-6” for us too! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:19 PM, jaydreb said: GFS gonna get it done? Expand Yeah and it shows the range of possibilities in this pattern. A coastal hugger/inland track is even on the table with the progressive flow and so much NS energy digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:24 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Yeah we just need to land all 7s or cherries or something!! And if you win, a bunch of snow comes out rather than coins! Expand Yeah except Instead of 7s it lands on all , lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Verbatim that run had a nice snowstorm with some deep winter after. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:32 PM, CAPE said: Verbatim that run had a nice snowstorm with some deep winter after. Expand Yeah, no complaints if it goes down like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:30 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah except Instead of 7s it lands on all , lol Expand Hahaha, but of course!!! Makes me think of the old Joker's Wild, I can hear the host saying "Weenie, Weenie, Weenie!! You win!!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GEFS still has strong signal for Friday Saturday storm 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:29 PM, CAPE said: Yeah and it shows the range of possibilities in this pattern. A coastal hugger/inland track is even on the table with the progressive flow and so much NS energy digging. Expand Now I know this is just one solution and still day 6/7, but just out of curiosity for understanding... Now theoretically...this wouldn't be too good for down here, would it? With the Low overhead? Would it be a transfer with a snow hole? I ask because I wonder if we need to root for the wave before this one so that one can get here before that Low to the north gets here? Lol (of course I know we always like the HP up there instead) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:44 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Now I know this is just one solution and still day 6/7, but just out of curiosity for understanding... Now theoretically...this wouldn't be too good for down here, would it? With the Low overhead? Would it be a transfer with a snow hole? I ask because I wonder if we need to root for the wave before this one so that one can get here before that Low to the north gets here? Lol (of course I know we always like the HP up there instead) Expand That's a function of the highly amplified (and progressive) pattern. Anticyclonic wave breaking is going to send chunks of the TPV southward, and timing is everything. Its volatile. Then when those vortices rotate out and up into the NA, wave breaking can induce a big transient ridge in the NAO space. That was a radical ass GFS run. Turbulent flow on the largest scale. Love it. Buckle up! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 10:33 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Hahaha, but of course!!! Makes me think of the old Joker's Wild, I can hear the host saying "Weenie, Weenie, Weenie!! You win!!!" Expand *generational reference goes over head* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18z 12z 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 11:00 PM, Maestrobjwa said: *generational reference goes over head* Expand Old TV game show!! I can't remember who the host was offhand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 11:03 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Old TV game show!! I can't remember who the host was offhand. Expand Mister Jack Barry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/16/2022 at 11:07 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Mister Jack Barry Expand Ahhhh, that sounds familiar! Thank you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GEFS is cold. A brief warm up this week, and then after Thursday DCA barely goes above freezing for at least a week. 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 To a -WP by the end of the GEFS run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Has anyone noticed how negative the NAO gets here in 3 days? We could see something coming out of this one west+PNA and -NAO, +AAM. I like it for the coming storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 AO is positive but whew, I think these other storms are coming north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 2:19 AM, WxUSAF said: Expand Well that certainly wakes up the salivary glands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 2:19 AM, WxUSAF said: Expand Plain English (Middle or Modern), please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 2:27 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Well that certainly wakes up the salivary glands Expand That was good? I was lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 2:40 AM, BristowWx said: That was good? I was lost. Expand So did I...but all I needed to see was "GEFS indicating potential for a more amplified cyclone", lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 2:45 AM, Maestrobjwa said: So did I...but all I needed to see was "GEFS indicating potential for a more amplified cyclone", lol Expand Basically if we want a storm, we want to see an amplified ridge over Alaska and deeper trough in the Central US (he uses hour +144). He thinks the overall pattern might support a better storm than the GEFS mean is indicating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Thursday looks to be trending slightly better in the GFS, just toggling back a few runs. Stats padder to keep our heater alive: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Has a weekend storm but it’s suppressed and on the Carolina coastline this run. Okay with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 On 1/17/2022 at 4:15 AM, NorthArlington101 said: Has a weekend storm but it’s suppressed and on the Carolina coastline this run. Okay with me. Expand would not take too much of an adjustment at range. Verbatim goes negative too late by a little bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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