CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Beach Snow said: Dumb question but we want the energy to be ejected correct instead of held back? With all the vorts flying around in the NS and digging south I am not sure it matters. The GFS almost got it done at 12z with a sw dropping in over top the western ridge and left most of that southwest energy behind. It's active and difficult to know what piece(s) of energy end up being 'the ones' at this juncture. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: With all the vorts flying around in the NS and digging south I am not sure it matters. The GFS almost got it done at 12z with a sw dropping in over top the western ridge and left most of that southwest energy behind. It's active and difficult to know what piece(s) of energy end up being 'the ones' at this juncture. 18z still has a lot of shit going on at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: 18z still has a lot of shit going on at h5 I wish this was the lingo On-Camera mets used That would make for good entertainment. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 18z still has a lot of shit going on at h5 We just can't know. Kinda fun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think the GFS is all alone with the sneaky Thursday wave but it has been persistent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: We just can't know. Kinda fun. We're literally watching an atmospheric slot machine spin, lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: We just can't know. Kinda fun. I actually agree. We both know that models aren't going to resolve anything in this time frame with vorts just flying all over the place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GFS gonna get it done? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: We're literally watching an atmospheric slot machine spin, lol At least it doesn’t cost everyone too much, and you’re limited to a few times a day (which some won’t like). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: We're literally watching an atmospheric slot machine spin, lol Yeah we just need to land all 7s or cherries or something!! And if you win, a bunch of snow comes out rather than coins! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Rhino16 said: At least it doesn’t cost everyone too much, and you’re limited to a few times a day (which some won’t like). Can ya imagine the level of neruoticism if we could spin every hour? (Insert 03z GFS...lol) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Can ya imagine the level of neruoticism if we could spin every hour? (Insert 03z GFS...lol) Not going to imagine that. 4 times a day, plus NAM, and twice Euro, 2 more for 6z and 18z run for all the power weenies out there, and I think we have enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NH obliterated on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NH obliterated on this run. Nice widespread 4-6” for us too! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GFS gonna get it done? Yeah and it shows the range of possibilities in this pattern. A coastal hugger/inland track is even on the table with the progressive flow and so much NS energy digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Yeah we just need to land all 7s or cherries or something!! And if you win, a bunch of snow comes out rather than coins! Yeah except Instead of 7s it lands on all , lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Verbatim that run had a nice snowstorm with some deep winter after. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Verbatim that run had a nice snowstorm with some deep winter after. Yeah, no complaints if it goes down like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah except Instead of 7s it lands on all , lol Hahaha, but of course!!! Makes me think of the old Joker's Wild, I can hear the host saying "Weenie, Weenie, Weenie!! You win!!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beach Snow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GEFS still has strong signal for Friday Saturday storm 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah and it shows the range of possibilities in this pattern. A coastal hugger/inland track is even on the table with the progressive flow and so much NS energy digging. Now I know this is just one solution and still day 6/7, but just out of curiosity for understanding... Now theoretically...this wouldn't be too good for down here, would it? With the Low overhead? Would it be a transfer with a snow hole? I ask because I wonder if we need to root for the wave before this one so that one can get here before that Low to the north gets here? Lol (of course I know we always like the HP up there instead) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now I know this is just one solution and still day 6/7, but just out of curiosity for understanding... Now theoretically...this wouldn't be too good for down here, would it? With the Low overhead? Would it be a transfer with a snow hole? I ask because I wonder if we need to root for the wave before this one so that one can get here before that Low to the north gets here? Lol (of course I know we always like the HP up there instead) That's a function of the highly amplified (and progressive) pattern. Anticyclonic wave breaking is going to send chunks of the TPV southward, and timing is everything. Its volatile. Then when those vortices rotate out and up into the NA, wave breaking can induce a big transient ridge in the NAO space. That was a radical ass GFS run. Turbulent flow on the largest scale. Love it. Buckle up! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Hahaha, but of course!!! Makes me think of the old Joker's Wild, I can hear the host saying "Weenie, Weenie, Weenie!! You win!!!" *generational reference goes over head* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18z 12z 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: *generational reference goes over head* Old TV game show!! I can't remember who the host was offhand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Old TV game show!! I can't remember who the host was offhand. Mister Jack Barry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Mister Jack Barry Ahhhh, that sounds familiar! Thank you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GEFS is cold. A brief warm up this week, and then after Thursday DCA barely goes above freezing for at least a week. 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 To a -WP by the end of the GEFS run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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