stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. That vort was close to going ape though. Probably cmc doing cmc things, at least theres something new showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Been busy but I see no changes...still see threats focused on the 20-22 and 24-26th periods. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At long range the key is to identify the opportunities for amplification near the east coast according to the longwave pattern. The guidance will struggle with the details like phasing, which SW to amplify, track. I don't bother with the surface maps at all past 5 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 -NAO, -EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO imagine if we had the STJ we had in 2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO CPC earlier this morning was talking about the spread among the ensembles with respect to the AO (in particular) at 2 weeks. Pretty good polarity with some of the members, indicative of some key players that need to be resolved over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ji said: imagine if we had the STJ we had in 2003 we get better each year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: CPC earlier this morning was talking about the spread among the ensembles with respect to the AO (in particular) at 2 weeks. Pretty good polarity with some of the members, indicative of some key players that need to be resolved over the next week. There have, in the last few days been some ensemble members with ridiculous +550-600dm (3-4SD's -AO's and -NAO's.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 44 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 29 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO +PNA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, mattie g said: +PNA? Remember, -PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 This looks great .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 lol, Euro H5 map at 192 looks soooooo familiar... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Anything on the Euro for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, snowmagnet said: Anything on the Euro for next week? Arctic cold and not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: lol, Euro H5 map at 192 looks soooooo familiar... Man it better not do the same thing as what we're getting Sunday...or else that would be an absolute troll run, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I see below zero lows late next week along i81 corridor... single digits to i95 corridor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, yoda said: Arctic cold and not much It did make a baby step towards what the Canadian is trying to hint at for our D7 storm. Had a weak LP system bringing light snow to costal SC. Kinda reminiscent for what this weekend's system showed at the same timeframe, but man that is some brutal cold pressing down during the same timeframe. Negatives for the far western burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: I see below zero lows late next week along i81 corridor... single digits to i95 corridor 100% sure that will verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: 100% sure that will verify Instead, If it was above normal temps or a cutter, it certainly would. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lol at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: Lol at 240 "lol, <no context comment>" really isn't helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: "lol, <no context comment>" really isn't helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 anyway, I'm only on 234. Looks like a classic Miller A type deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: lol, Euro H5 map at 192 looks soooooo familiar... The euro is trying for another NS phase job with a gulf system next weekend. Might not pull it off this run but interesting and somewhat similar to this. We were discussing this in the last few zoom chats... JB is right about one thing...this is the kind of pattern where you can get the NS to dig far enough south to get these amplified systems coming up out of the gulf coast. But they aren't going to be 1993...even for a triple phased system that was a once in a lifetime thing. We've had several other triple phased storms but they usually phase and bomb further north like the November 51 and January 66 storms. So he isn't wrong that this is the kind of pattern to get the NS to dig down and phase and get amplified storms but he goes full over the top hype mode as usual. Also its not necessarily what we want as were seeing now these types of storms can cut if we dont have enough confluence to our north. The key is to either have something blocking the flow, a well timed 50/50 or wave coming over the top in front of it... and it would also help not to have another NS wave diving in and phasing right behind it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Yeah, it's loaded 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: The euro is trying for another NS phase job with a gulf system next weekend. Might not pull it off this run but interesting and somewhat similar to this. We were discussing this in the last few zoom chats... JB is right about one thing...this is the kind of pattern where you can get the NS to dig far enough south to get these amplified systems coming up out of the gulf coast. But they aren't going to be 1993...even for a triple phased system that was a once in a lifetime thing. We've had several other triple phased storms but they usually phase and bomb further north like the November 51 and January 66 storms. So he isn't wrong that this is the kind of pattern to get the NS to dig down and phase and get amplified storms but he goes full over the top hype mode as usual. Also its not necessarily what we want as were seeing now these types of storms can cut if we dont have enough confluence to our north. The key is to either have something blocking the flow, a well timed 50/50 or wave coming over the top in front of it... and it would also help not to have another NS wave diving in and phasing right behind it! I mean, it D10, no use in discussing in detail because we both know it's gonna change next run, but I don't believe we escape the next 2 weeks without a threat (or two) to track. And yeah...JB, lol. Everything is always '93 with him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Alot going on at h5 at 240 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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