Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 No much support for this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 hours ago, Ji said: No much support for this Certainly not now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Still looking forward to what may, or may not happen, late month after this recent fiasco. Maybe @CAPE and I can score a moderate hit and have it stick around a while. I settle for a ground blizzard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, frd said: Still looking forward to what may, or may not happen, late month after this recent fiasco. Maybe @CAPE and I can score a moderate hit and have it stick around a while. I settle for a ground blizzard. Check out that +PNA continuing to get reinforced on that map. May be able to time more of a pseudo -NAO with those higher heights rolling through GL too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Like many of the rest of you, I’m looking past this weekend to what could be coming up next. That disturbance next Friday-Saturday on the GFS has been around in some form or another, and it’s started a little bit of a jog to the northwest. We see something hanging around on all other guidance, as well (CMC being the most ridiculous solution for now). With the trend over the last few weeks, I wouldn’t be surprised if the GFS continues moving that one to the northwest, with all guidance starting to converge by the time the upcoming joke is out of here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, frd said: Still looking forward to what may, or may not happen, late month after this recent fiasco. Maybe @CAPE and I can score a moderate hit and have it stick around a while. I settle for a ground blizzard. Ofc the means have a pretty dry look with the baroclinic zone largely suppressed/offshore, but there will be relaxations and small scale perturbations in the larger scale flow that cannot be picked up on a LR ensemble. As I mentioned earlier, I would expect to see an offshore low/ coastal scraper and maybe a big storm during this period. 0z GFS showed the potential- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 42 minutes ago, mattie g said: Like many of the rest of you, I’m looking past this weekend to what could be coming up next. That disturbance next Friday-Saturday on the GFS has been around in some form or another, and it’s started a little bit of a jog to the northwest. We see something hanging around on all other guidance, as well (CDS being the most ridiculous solution for now). With the trend over the last few weeks, I wouldn’t be surprised if the GFS continues moving that one to the northwest, with all guidance starting to converge by the time the upcoming joke is out of here. Even being further NW I am looking for the next one. Don't get me wrong I am looking forward to the thump because I enjoy all snow. But I know this has 3-4" and a rapid changeover written all over it. Even up here. (5 miles west of the BR) 00Z EPS increased its signal for this time period. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I'm so over this Sunday slophog. I need next Friday to work out. Let's do it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm so over this Sunday slophog. I need next Friday to work out. Let's do it. Start the thread!!!! 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm so over this Sunday slophog. I need next Friday to work out. Let's do it. Same. I'm not as excited about the next couple of weeks now as I was previously now that it looks like some major cold is going to push through. Sure, I guess you could get a 2014 and 2015 repeat with lots of waves coming at us and getting direct hits, but it doesn't look like the chance of a big storm is in the cards now like it possibly was several days ago. And add to that the fact this slop storm coming up is quickly going to melt before we get the cold, and I'd rather not have a big outbreak of cold and just take our chances with a less extreme pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm so over this Sunday slophog. I need next Friday to work out. Let's do it. In all seriousness I am drained from this event already. I didn't even stay up for the Euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 47 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm so over this Sunday slophog. I need next Friday to work out. Let's do it. Man I've BEEN over this since like late Monday, lol Now some of ya kinda trolled me for giving up on this weekend on Monday...but now I'm kinda glad I did! This whole thing looked messy from the start to me...with that whole weird ocean low and the wonky suppressed solutions...just wasn't quite feeling it! @stormtracker I'm with ya--I really want next weekend to work out too...been keyed in on it for a bit (especially if we get the forecasted ice box afterward, lol). We shall see! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 33 minutes ago, HighStakes said: In all seriousness I am drained from this event already. I didn't even stay up for the Euro. I did! But for seeing if there was any next weekend potential, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS sure is trying to for next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, LP08 said: GFS sure is trying to for next weekend. Our cold air source is wrecked by the lakes low, but it definitely was a step to something more interesting (edit: more like a leap). Hoping ensembles pick up on it a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, LP08 said: GFS sure is trying to for next weekend. Yeppers... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: Yeppers... Lock it! This may get us through the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 CMC is also on board for a storm next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 WPC sees the possibilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. That vort was close to going ape though. Probably cmc doing cmc things, at least theres something new showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Been busy but I see no changes...still see threats focused on the 20-22 and 24-26th periods. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At long range the key is to identify the opportunities for amplification near the east coast according to the longwave pattern. The guidance will struggle with the details like phasing, which SW to amplify, track. I don't bother with the surface maps at all past 5 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 -NAO, -EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO imagine if we had the STJ we had in 2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO CPC earlier this morning was talking about the spread among the ensembles with respect to the AO (in particular) at 2 weeks. Pretty good polarity with some of the members, indicative of some key players that need to be resolved over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ji said: imagine if we had the STJ we had in 2003 we get better each year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: CPC earlier this morning was talking about the spread among the ensembles with respect to the AO (in particular) at 2 weeks. Pretty good polarity with some of the members, indicative of some key players that need to be resolved over the next week. There have, in the last few days been some ensemble members with ridiculous +550-600dm (3-4SD's -AO's and -NAO's.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 44 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, CMC still likes us next weekend, not as good as the 48 hour snow parade as 0z,but decent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 29 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: -NAO, -EPO +PNA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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