Weather Will Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:09 PM, Ji said: looks plausible Expand Trying reverse psychology….at least I won’t be up to look at the OZ EURO for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:19 PM, Weather Will said: Trying reverse psychology….at least I won’t be up to look at the OZ EURO for awhile. Expand The Euro from the land of OZ? Follow the yellow EPS road 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 7:39 PM, Ji said: so close! and a monster 1012 low to boot! Expand Yes, precip maps are the only thing you need to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:02 PM, Weather Will said: I hope the EPS continues to be wrong….WB 12Z. Expand So it’s a coincidence that for the last week when the eps and gefs was spitting out means with 6-10” and weenie run after weenie run you were too busy to post them…but you’re Johnny on the spot when it spits out the first truly awful run in quite a while? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:29 PM, psuhoffman said: So it’s a coincidence that for the last week when the eps and gefs was spitting out means with 6-10” and weenie run after weenie run you were too busy to post them…but you’re Johnny on the spot when it spits out the first truly awful run in quite a while? Expand I post a lot of snow maps, both good and bad. Actually I am happy with January. It was cold and I have about 10 inches to date. Would love a big storm by mid March though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:02 PM, Weather Will said: I hope the EPS continues to be wrong….WB 12Z. Expand Hell. I would take the EPS over the HR Euro in a heartbeat: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 1:45 AM, Weather Will said: WB EPS individual members Expand Being a lawyer, I will post exhibit A to prove to PSU and to others with selective memory that I do post positive EPS Maps as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 8:58 PM, Weather Will said: Being a lawyer, I will post exhibit A to prove to PSU and to others with selective memory that I do post positive EPS Maps as well. Expand Several times the mean was 6 inches and zero snow fell within the forecast timeframe. Beyond these maps the only thing worse is the surreal control model. Never is it even close to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:03 PM, frd said: Several times the mean was 6 inches and zero snow fell within the forecast timeframe. Beyond these maps the only thing worse is the surreal control model. Never is it even close to reality. Expand I think the ensembles have shown the colder pattern very nicely but for storms I don’t think they are any better than just looking at the global models. They flop around like a fish also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Not sure if anyone posted or cares about it, but ukie at the end of the run looked interesting as well. Cold front pushing east and nice looking wave out west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand Mix of 93, 96, and 2016. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand I'll bet it'll disappear this run...lol (and even if the threat is indeed legit...the old GFS would lose it then find it again!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:36 PM, Heisy said: Not sure if anyone posted or cares about it, but ukie at the end of the run looked interesting as well. Cold front pushing east and nice looking wave out west Expand This is also the same wave the gfs ended up turning into the monster. (The one near four corners) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand Washed-out northern stream wave that gets kicked out by a trailing wave and southern stream energy left in the Southwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand 5 feet of snow right on top of Ji and everyone else is in a snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 It would be really nice if Tuesday turned into something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:52 PM, HighStakes said: It would be really nice if Tuesday turned into something. Expand Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:45 PM, psuhoffman said: Mix of 93, 96, and 2016. Expand You were good until '93. But averaged out, track should keep DC mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand Washington/Jefferson Storm Redux. We'll all be partying like it's 1772. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:48 PM, mattie g said: Washed-out northern stream wave that gets kicked out by a trailing wave and southern stream energy left in the Southwest. Expand I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't try to do something funky in the 144 to 180 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:56 PM, stormtracker said: You were good until '93. But averaged out, track should keep DC mostly snow Expand Probably still a bit far west, gotta throw in a Dec 2010 for good measure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:57 PM, Cobalt said: Probably still a bit far west, gotta throw in a Dec 2010 for good measure Expand oooh, that's the only time that storm is acceptable. Mixed that in and I think we'd be golden 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 18z absolutely taunting us with another incremental NW move for the weekend. When we all know it ain't coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:43 PM, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Expand 3 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Hmm, the Tuesday thing is still there, but notable changes h5 behind It Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 9:56 PM, Kmlwx said: Washington/Jefferson Storm Redux. We'll all be partying like it's 1772. Expand Wait hang on what's the Jefferson storm? Gotta look that one up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 10:09 PM, stormtracker said: Hmm, the Tuesday thing is still there, but notable changes h5 behind It Expand Yeah, H5 looks really different. Not holding back the energy over the SW like it was in 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 10:14 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Wait hang on what's the Jefferson storm? Gotta look that one up! Expand It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 On 1/20/2022 at 10:19 PM, Jersey Andrew said: It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though. Expand Daaang...and that would be exactly 250 years next week, lol (looks like it was sometime between January 26th and January 29th that year). So two historical dates: 100 years since Knickerbocker, 250 years since Washington/Jefferson! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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