Heisy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Not sure if anyone posted or cares about it, but ukie at the end of the run looked interesting as well. Cold front pushing east and nice looking wave out west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Mix of 93, 96, and 2016. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. I'll bet it'll disappear this run...lol (and even if the threat is indeed legit...the old GFS would lose it then find it again!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, Heisy said: Not sure if anyone posted or cares about it, but ukie at the end of the run looked interesting as well. Cold front pushing east and nice looking wave out west This is also the same wave the gfs ended up turning into the monster. (The one near four corners) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Washed-out northern stream wave that gets kicked out by a trailing wave and southern stream energy left in the Southwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. 5 feet of snow right on top of Ji and everyone else is in a snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 It would be really nice if Tuesday turned into something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: It would be really nice if Tuesday turned into something. Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Mix of 93, 96, and 2016. You were good until '93. But averaged out, track should keep DC mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. Washington/Jefferson Storm Redux. We'll all be partying like it's 1772. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, mattie g said: Washed-out northern stream wave that gets kicked out by a trailing wave and southern stream energy left in the Southwest. I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't try to do something funky in the 144 to 180 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: You were good until '93. But averaged out, track should keep DC mostly snow Probably still a bit far west, gotta throw in a Dec 2010 for good measure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, Cobalt said: Probably still a bit far west, gotta throw in a Dec 2010 for good measure oooh, that's the only time that storm is acceptable. Mixed that in and I think we'd be golden 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 18z absolutely taunting us with another incremental NW move for the weekend. When we all know it ain't coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What are the guesses on the new solution the 18z GFS shows? Im going to make a safe bet: It won't be the superstorm blizzard like 12z. 3 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Hmm, the Tuesday thing is still there, but notable changes h5 behind It Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Washington/Jefferson Storm Redux. We'll all be partying like it's 1772. Wait hang on what's the Jefferson storm? Gotta look that one up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hmm, the Tuesday thing is still there, but notable changes h5 behind It Yeah, H5 looks really different. Not holding back the energy over the SW like it was in 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Wait hang on what's the Jefferson storm? Gotta look that one up! It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though. Daaang...and that would be exactly 250 years next week, lol (looks like it was sometime between January 26th and January 29th that year). So two historical dates: 100 years since Knickerbocker, 250 years since Washington/Jefferson! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though. No "official" records - but Washington, Jefferson and apparently some other people or orgs in the area wrote about it in detail. Have to hope that they weren't slant sticking. I've always thought that storm (if authentic) is probably the theoretical max for a single storm in this area. Based on how Washington wrote about it - it's even possible it was two storms back-to-back (similar to 2010) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Daaang...and that would he exactly 250 years next week, lol (looks like it was sometime between January 26th and January 29th that year) Which would also be the 100 year anniversary of the Knickerbocker Storm of 1922 which blew roof off DC Theater killing dozens of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, Jersey Andrew said: Which would also be the 100 year anniversary of the Knickerbocker Storm of 1922 which blew roof off DC Theater killing dozens of people. Yep (just edited my comment to include that). Would be really funny if we get a storm on those anniversaries, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: No "official" records - but Washington, Jefferson and apparently some other people or orgs in the area wrote about it in detail. Have to hope that they weren't slant sticking. I've always thought that storm (if authentic) is probably the theoretical max for a single storm in this area. Based on how Washington wrote about it - it's even possible it was two storms back-to-back (similar to 2010) Washington was OBVIOUSLY somewhere in the @Ji family tree. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Yep (just edited my comment to include that). Would be really funny if we get a storm on those anniversaries, lolNot on 18z run. Nothing to be had in the Gulf or the 500mbSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Southern stream making a quick escape this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 The Great Blizzard of 2022 has become nothing but northern stream vort passing by. That was a fun 6 hours. See yall at 11! 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Now when we wanted the southern vort to hold back, of course the GFS kicks it out ahead on this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 34 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You were good until '93. But averaged out, track should keep DC mostly snow 96/16 track, 93 intensity. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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