Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Dude, stop. Wait until 12z before you descent into making us all miserable. It's 1000% better than the GFS still. Lol im just going by what you all are posting. Plus all the euro sensors got swallowed up by tonga Someone said the Europeans were struggling getting data because there was a shortage of weather balloons due to Covid. Can anyone confirm? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 hours ago, Vice-Regent said: We be chasing another phantom ... again just for different reasons. Yall must be hurtin' after all of those historic years stuff like that doesn't cut it anymore. It's just like Bob Chill said. We rarely time the big dogs we are reliant entirely on extended cold to get HECS. And another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Run run change This shows it well. Deeper but a bit more progressive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Someone said the Europeans were struggling getting data because there was a shortage of weather balloons due to Covid. Can anyone confirm?Makes sense to me. I went to lowes yesterday to buy weather balloons and they said supply issue are killing them 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Every. Single. Post. I your goal was to be a dick, stop practicing. You’ve mastered it. He’s on our radar. We see it. I’m just trying to give dude a chance to read the room. 6 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Someone said the Europeans were struggling getting data because there was a shortage of weather balloons due to Covid. Can anyone confirm? No. [Edit to add] And if there is a sonde missing for ECMWF, there is a 99% chance it's missing for everyone. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ji said: 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Someone said the Europeans were struggling getting data because there was a shortage of weather balloons due to Covid. Can anyone confirm? Makes sense to me. I went to lowes yesterday to buy weather balloons and they said supply issue are killing them 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I can already see that some of y’all are going or heading off the rails. I’ve summoned the Map-Kren. It’s your own faults. @mappy 3 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Dude, stop. Wait until 12z before you descent into making us all miserable. It's 1000% better than the GFS still. And here I thought he had changed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I can already see that some of y’all are going or heading off the rails. I’ve summoned the Map-Kren. It’s your own faults. @mappy You're lucky I enjoy your friendship so much. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: He’s on our radar. We see it. I’m just trying to give dude a chance to read the room. Well, my 2 cents, and that’s probably what it’s worth, is that he’s been in the center of the radar for years. He adds nothing to any discussion. No insight, no information, no humor, no camaraderie with others. Further, he will divert any discussion over to his doom and gloom outlook. If you gave me mod powers for 30 minutes he’d be gone forever. Thank you and I’ll shut up now. 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, Ji said: Welp it looks like it finally fell apart per the last 2 posts It only goes out to hour 90 and looks pretty much the same. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Do we get precip maps from the 6z eps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Do we get precip maps from the 6z eps? Yes. Will post when out. Running now. Then everyone can wail and gnash teeth or rejoice, or perhaps something in between…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB 6Z Hr 84 Control v. OZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 It only goes out to hour 90 and looks pretty much the same.I was just going by randy and ralph word description before maps came out My bigger concern is we have no other guidance close to what euro is showing and euro now is in its wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 From Walt Drag this AM. Posted 33 minutes ago East coast snowstorm potential 21st-22nd Atlanta to NYC-Boston: Uncertainty exists on best target, and also where its all snow or freezing rain-sleet. The greatest uncertainty for me is the NYC-BOSTON-I84 corridor. No matter, there does appear to be a strong likelihood of a 5-10" snowfall, especially NC-VA-MD-DE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Ji said: I was just going by randy and ralph word description before maps came out My bigger concern is we have no other guidance close to what euro is showing and euro now is in its wheelhouse But isn't the GFS seemingly moving toward the Euro? Not necessarily saying it will move all the way to it or we will get a big storm, but Euro has been rock steady for 4-5 runs now while the GFS is all over the place. I feel pretty good about where we are right now. Hopefully, we see the GFS take another step at 12z. Also would like to see the CMC take a step there as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: I was just going by randy and ralph word description before maps came out My bigger concern is we have no other guidance close to what euro is showing and euro now is in its wheelhouse This. How can it be wrong, or if it is, how can it be THIS wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB 7am Sat EURO Control compared to 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 7am Sat Definitely a big change here, a step in the wrong direction! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 44 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’m only comparing the 6z and 0z maps @Weather Will posted, but 6z looks much deeper but a little more progressive with the shortwave? 6z has a broad 543 dm contour through the shortwave. 0z didn’t at all (only 546 dm) except for a tiny closed dot at the base. That’s what I saw..Imo 6z would end up an even more amplified storm but it’s developing a bit further east so the question is would it be in time for places NW of 95. But given that g5 at 90 I could see that tuck up the coast even more. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, Ji said: I was just going by randy and ralph word description before maps came out My bigger concern is we have no other guidance close to what euro is showing and euro now is in its wheelhouse Hasn’t other guidance been slowly trending towards the Euro? I swear I recall that the Euro has always been better at handling southern stream systems, so that’s why it’s probably leading the charge here. Just my 4 cents (inflation). Haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB Control…. Not that good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB 6Z EPS is better for NW crew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB Control…. Not that good 6 inches of cold smoke not that good lol….I’ll sign on the dotted line right now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: This. How can it be wrong, or if it is, how can it be THIS wrong. The event hasn't happened yet, no models are right or wrong at this point. It is Tuesday. We just went through a week of watching models do their thing for a week ahead of Sunday's storm. Pull it together weenies. 10 4 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Seriously...search Twitter long enough and you can find someone who agrees with you. If you think it's trending towards the gfs you can find agreement if it stayed the same you can find agreement if it looks better you can find agreement. Bunch of sheep 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 How have we not learned that in this regime, we take everything with a grain of salt more than 4 days out, for every model (except the cmc, then it’s 4 minutes) and even then…buckle up everyone and enjoy the ride, however it turns out! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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