Jebman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 4:45 AM, Scraff said: Nobody beats Jim Kosek from Accuweather (from the Feb 2010 storms) Look it up on YouTube. Absolutely classic. Expand YOU HAVE GOT TO SEE THIS GUY In FRACKIN' ACTION! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 9:01 AM, Jebman said: Once DT shouts ALEET ALEET its gonna be a classic storm Expand Now we get his famous "2 and a quarter" first and final call maps along with his cluster f*** start time maps. I sense him making an emergency trip to his local Wal-Mart to stock up on crayons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks like a bit more phasing this time comparing 06z GFS at 84 to 00z GFS 90 at the h5 level... but lets see where it goes from here... Nope... still not there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS and Euro still worlds apart at h5 for the weekend. CMC is sort of in between but closer to the GFS, as they both dampen the shortwave as it moves east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS also brings the leftover energy through and tries to pop another coastal but largely fails again. No idea how this turns out, but (intuitively) I think the GFS is still figuring it out. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Heading into the middle of next week, as the trough lifts a bit the GEFS develops a bit of a -NAO, and still looks active down south. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 WB 6Z GEFS still world’s apart from EPS, but a few good hits, 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 10:41 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS still world’s apart from EPS, but a few good hits, Expand 18,28,and 24 are QPF bombs. Must be slow moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 9:59 AM, yoda said: Looks like a bit more phasing this time comparing 06z GFS at 84 to 00z GFS 90 at the h5 level... but lets see where it goes from here... Nope... still not thereTime to hit the panic button 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 FWIW, 6z ICON is a bump north from 0z with snow into the MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Gosh we are getting close in for the euro to be this far off from everything else….my money is on gfs folding at 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Sterling is at least taking it seriously... and also how low the confidence is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 06z GEFS snowfall mean was still very nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 I see the euro still has a SoMD special for the weekend. When the GFS gonna fold? The American empire has had its day. Hey is there a Chinese weather model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 11:22 AM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Gosh we are getting close in for the euro to be this far off from everything else….my money is on gfs folding at 12z today. Expand just hang your hopes on the sampling issue...that will get you through until its sampled then panic...does beg the question where does the euro get it's sampling data or is it just better at extrapolating...or none of those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 11:35 AM, BristowWx said: just hang your hopes on the sampling issue...that will get you through until its sampled then panic...does beg the question where does the euro get it's sampling data or is it just better at extrapolating...or none of those Expand Yeah I mean we’re almost in NAM range and they’re still pretty far apart. Like I said, euro and eps have been locked in now for several runs with minimal wavering so that’s where my money goes but it certainly is edge of your seat entertainment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 11:09 AM, Ji said: On 1/18/2022 at 9:59 AM, yoda said: Looks like a bit more phasing this time comparing 06z GFS at 84 to 00z GFS 90 at the h5 level... but lets see where it goes from here... Nope... still not there Expand Time to hit the panic button Expand You hit it back in September… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Not much difference on the 06z EURO at the h5 level through 48 comparing it to the 00z run so far... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:03 PM, yoda said: Not much difference on the 06z EURO at the h5 level through 48 comparing it to the 00z run so far...How about at 49 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:09 PM, Ji said: On 1/18/2022 at 12:03 PM, yoda said: Not much difference on the 06z EURO at the h5 level through 48 comparing it to the 00z run so far... Expand How about at 49 Expand lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 There was something posted yesterday saying the Tonga volcano screwed up some sensors the Euro uses for initialization data and they were unsure when those would be back online. Could this be the reason the Euro is on an island with this? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:10 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: There was something posted yesterday saying the Tonga volvano screwed up some sensors the Euro uses for initialization data and theu were unsure when those would be back online. Could this be the reason the Euro is on an island with this?I thought volcanic didn't affect our weather till 9 months later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 To my untrained eye, the Euro looks a little flatter in front than 0z. Anybody else confirm? Still gets precip up to us right as the run ends. Still much better than the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:15 PM, stormtracker said: To my untrained eye, the Euro looks a little flatter in front than 0z. Anybody else confirm? Still gets precip up to us right as the run ends. Still much better than the GFS Expand 2 runs going the other way with heights if we're being honest with ourselves. I don't know that the euros full phased MECS is the right idea with no support still at 3.5 day leads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:15 PM, stormtracker said: To my untrained eye, the Euro looks a little flatter in front than 0z. Anybody else confirm? Still gets precip up to us right as the run ends. Still much better than the GFSIf its not 12-18 don't want it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks about the same to me…WB 6Z EURO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:15 PM, stormtracker said: To my untrained eye, the Euro looks a little flatter in front than 0z. Anybody else confirm? Still gets precip up to us right as the run ends. Still much better than the GFS Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Not as diggy with the sw. Looks like there were some changes to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Welp it looks like it finally fell apart per the last 2 posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/18/2022 at 12:19 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Not as diggy with the sw. Looks like there were some changes to me. Expand Yup, NS not diggy as much this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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