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January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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The 12z Euro had a really nice pass at 500 with the main feature sliding by to the south of DC. That's exactly what you want to see for a solid, cold smoke snowstorm. Given the cold 850 temps and antecedent air mass, 10:1 or even 12:1 snow ratios would be possible. As @stormtrackersaid, this is what we want other models to trend towards. Would easily be the biggest snowfall in the past couple of winter and would put all 3 terminals at or above yearly snowfall.

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  On 1/17/2022 at 7:19 PM, paxpatriot said:

Given that we’re seeing major differences between the Euro and GFS by 84 hours, I don’t think we’re too far away from one folding to the other here.

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Canadian is kind of in between.  Has a storm but it slides off to our south.  GFS is the most suppressed of the three.  

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  On 1/17/2022 at 7:18 PM, CentralVaNATS said:

Updated run from 12z Euro e62562ff75564e5a751ab466f9c1e865.jpg

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

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I don't think you could ask for anything better for this region.  That map is basically perfect. 

 

Eta, the down side to this is it can only get worse from here on out.  

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  On 1/17/2022 at 6:44 PM, HighStakes said:

One of the driest, fluffy and lightest snow I've ever shoveled.

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It was also during Super Bowl 25, I believe the Giants vs. the Broncos. I believe the forecast for my area (West Springfield at the time) was 6-10", and we ended up getting around a foot. Fluffy stuff. At one point, DCA was getting several hours of mod-heavy snow with temps in the upper teens.

Screenshot (46).png

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  On 1/17/2022 at 7:28 PM, WxMan1 said:

It was also during Super Bowl 25, I believe the Giants vs. the Broncos. I believe the forecast for my area (West Springfield at the time) was 6-10", and we ended up getting around a foot. Fluffy stuff. At one point, DCA was getting several hours of mod-heavy snow with temps in the upper teens.

Screenshot (46).png

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Great stuff! What website is this by chance?

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