Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,609
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

I'll take the 12z NAM in a heartbeat. This is a relatively fast moving system, but it falls at night and could give folks a surprise 3 day weekend. What's not to like?

It “isn’t a warning level snowfall” is typically the issue for the usual suspects. Not sure why that’s become the bar for so many. A nice 4-6” event far inland with 2-4” closer to 95 is still a nice snowfall we should very much be welcoming - especially in a setup that typically goes wrong for our area 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, jayyy said:

It “isn’t a warning level snowfall” is typically the issue for the usual suspects. Not sure why that’s become the bar for so many. A nice 4-6” event far inland with 2-4” closer to 95 is still a nice snowfall we should very much be welcoming - especially in a setup that typically goes wrong for our area 

I just want the grass covered, 4" of snow. Also, potential snow on Christmas decorations!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said:

The good news about this one so long as the track holds up is that its mostly pretty chilled this week and cold leading into the storm. We shouldnt waste many flakes. 

see you next week at the office :lol: 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

I'll save this post for the next time we get 8" of snow and you get none. 

I guess I should say IF that happens.

I don't complain about something that is not expected in the first place - you should try it! Someone 100 miles NW of DC getting 8" and us zippy is as likely as the sun rising in the east

  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

I don't complain about something that is not expected in the first place - you should try it! Someone 100 miles NW of DC getting 8" and us zippy is as likely as the sun rising in the east

Lol.  Ok.  Pretty sure we average 2X your snow.   So we should expect to be blanked by a SECS? 

We are 70 miles from DC btw.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

i'm ready to sign off on the nam.  i don't need a blizzard right now.  northern stream systems can work (like they can work in iowa).  we just need a good vort pass underneath us to allow for a little bit of atlantic influence (gulf tap is a bonus).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

i'm ready to sign off on the nam.  i don't need a blizzard right now.  northern stream systems can work (like they can work in iowa).  we just need a good vort pass underneath us to allow for a little bit of atlantic influence (gulf tap is a bonus).

We get lucky on the NAM. It could easily screw us with its jump to the coast. It would have to be timed perfectly for it to work out the way it is showing. I would much rather have a consolidated storm passing through southern VA for us. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, clskinsfan said:

We get lucky on the NAM. It could easily screw us with its jump to the coast. It would have to be timed perfectly for it to work out the way it is showing. I would much rather have a consolidated storm passing through southern VA for us. 

Agreed, the ICON is pretty ideal and the 6z GFS would do. ICON was a great run just a few minutes ago, but can the GFS follow suit. Definitely 2 ways to fail, Miller B screw job or RGEMesque de-amped progressive system. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...