87storms Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:41 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Gfs and ICON were both pretty big departures from their 12z runs. It is possible that the next euro and Canadian runs may be much different as well. Or they could be the same. Expand lol, the only trend is that there isn't one...at least until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 1:43 AM, cbmclean said: Chuck, I have to ask where you get your plots. Its like you tap directly into the GFS mainframe or something. Expand PSU e-Wall http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ewall.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 12:19 AM, osfan24 said: Hmmmm wonder which is right? The GFS almost always folds to the Euro, especially when it has the CMC on its side. I don't even care about the GFS or GEFS when it comes to snow anymore. It's a joke. Expand what i've noticed the most (and maybe i'm wrong here) is aside from accuracy comparisons, the euro just seems to have less run to run variation. it's not always right and maybe the gfs does some things better, but it does seem more consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Lol the only heat in the country over dc 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 18Z EPS…our 1 in 50 chance for early next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Gfs is stubborn, I’ll give it that… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Actually a legit snowstorm on this GFS run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 GFS wants to snow on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Nice look on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 0Z GFS. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:08 AM, Chris78 said: Nice look on the GFS Expand Closed 500 low tracking along the NC/VA border. I’d take that look any day and roll the dice. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:11 AM, nj2va said: Closed 500 low tracking along the NC/VA border. I’d take that look any day and roll the dice. Expand H5 has been improving on the gfs with each run today. Wish the euro would get on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 I love when the gfs is outlier. Icon went the other way 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:14 AM, Chris78 said: H5 has been improving on the gfs with each run today. Wish the euro would get on board Expand From the map I saw in the PA forum, it looked like it took a step towards the GFS at 18z but GFS (or any model) on an island is a red flag. Still fun to track something vs debating phantom ridges at hour 873. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 2:09 AM, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EPS…our 1 in 50 chance for early next week. Expand And that EPS member will be suing the 00z GFS for copyright infringement. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Hm isnt discounting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 0Z GEFS v GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 I mean I love the GFS tonight and all, but not until the King gets a clue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 CMC took a baby step to the GFS at 500 and surface but basically still night/day. CMC does get a period of snow into SEVA this run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:36 AM, Weather Will said: WB 0Z GEFS v GFSIll go with the op under 100 hours all day long:) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:40 AM, nj2va said: CMC took a baby step to the GFS at 500 and surface but basically still night/day. CMC does get a period of snow into SEVA this run though. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:40 AM, nj2va said: CMC took a baby step to the GFS at 500 and surface but basically still night/day. CMC does get a period of snow into SEVA this run though. Looks more than a baby step Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 0Z Can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:42 AM, Ji said: On 12/30/2021 at 4:40 AM, nj2va said: CMC took a baby step to the GFS at 500 and surface but basically still night/day. CMC does get a period of snow into SEVA this run though. Expand Looks more than a baby step Expand Maybe more of a toddler step on second look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:43 AM, nj2va said: Maybe more of a toddler step on second look Expand We’ll it’s headed in the right direction. We have been burned or brined so many times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 This all happens in 84 to 96 hours on gfs....its not like its 162-180 anymore.Anyway dr no im sure will be in mid-season form 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:50 AM, Ji said: This all happens in 84 to 96 hours on gfs....its not like its 162-180 anymore. Anyway dr no im sure will be in mid-season form Expand Just enjoy shoveling blue pixels for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 On 12/30/2021 at 4:50 AM, Ji said: This all happens in 84 to 96 hours on gfs....its not like its 162-180 anymore. Anyway dr no im sure will be in mid-season form Expand UKMET at 96H. GFS-ish. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Octopus Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 It looks like GFS, CMC and Euro all show a secondary low forming going into Monday morning. It may not be snow verbatim on two of the three but I would assume that's a hopeful sign considering most models were dry after the primary passed through and now they may be caving to the snowier GFS?Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 WB 0Z EURO 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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