StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Yeah guys GOA Low will dig more than current models I think. (maybe a little bit weaker) -NAO persisting, that is the key. Stronger -NAO will be a good snowstorm. Stronger GOA low would be a major snowstorm, but that will dampen I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 1:05 PM, IronTy said: So should I bring the petunias and geraniums inside? Expand Well leave them outside today, it feels like April. We will probably get a few good snows in January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 2:43 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: Well leave them outside today, it feels like April. We will probably get a few good snows in January. Expand I agree. Sitting on the front porch with my pup it feels like early May. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 3:01 PM, IronTy said: I agree. Sitting on the front porch with my pup it feels like early May. Expand Reminds me alot of the last few Winters. It will probably be warmer than average March, April, May. -PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 3:03 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: Reminds me alot of the last few Winters. It will probably be warmer than average March, April, May. -PNA Expand That's fine with me. I hate the cold M/A/M weather of late. DJF is winter. After that I'm all about warm...minus drought of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 1:03 PM, Wonderdog said: That's all we can ask for. That is quite an incursion of cold air into the U.S. in January. Since it's 10-15 days away, it's hard to trust the models based on their track record. So we wait. Expand Been reading several items about wanting a Pacific jet extension to help shake up the NPac ridge. I was thinking wasn't it last year that we were desperately hoping for the jet to retract so we could shake off the Pac puke? So an extended jet is sometimes good and sometimes bad? Anyone with more knowledge have any insight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 12z gfs is not intriguing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 4:27 PM, cbmclean said: Been reading several items about wanting a Pacific jet extension to help shake up the NPac ridge. I was thinking wasn't it last year that we were desperately hoping for the jet to retract so we could shake off the Pac puke? So an extended jet is sometimes good and sometimes bad? Anyone with more knowledge have any insight? Expand My expert analysis says that whatever we have, we want something else. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 5:19 PM, leesburg 04 said: 12z gfs is not intriguing Expand Today just isn’t the day. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 5:19 PM, leesburg 04 said: 12z gfs is not intriguing Expand Give it 30 more days. Our time is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 5:26 PM, snowfan said: Give it 30 more days. Our time is coming. Expand Bound to get it right at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Add this to the list of my favorite model glitches. CMC 180-192 shows a 39mb pressure drop on an ET cyclone over land. That's almost double the Cleveland superbomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 WB 12Z GEFS…I would not get hung up on run to run GFS yet. We are still over a week out of any storm. A chance in January is all you can ask for… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 What does this get up to, +650? (Pacific ridge) This is new Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 WB 12Z EURO 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Tilt negative please! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Finally the Euro bringing a smile to my face. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 Euro hasn’t predicted a day 5+ snow correctly in 6 years. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 7:16 PM, Scraff said: Finally the Euro bringing a smile to my face. Expand that kind of snow hasnt ever worked out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 7:55 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Euro hasn’t predicted a day 5+ snow correctly in 6 years. Expand Correct. There is absolutely no reason to be excited. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 I like this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 7:58 PM, Ji said: that kind of snow hasnt ever worked out Expand I get it. I was just happy to see something positive on the Euro. We know how the story most likely ends, but at least its something to track besides LR patterns. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 6:46 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO Expand Bring it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 9:20 PM, IronTy said: Bring it!Not happening. Wait 12 more hrs. At least MJO is looking to go into phase 8 but it's still a la Nina. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Finally out of the reds 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 8:08 PM, stormtracker said: Correct. There is absolutely no reason to be excited. Expand Low pressure system with a lot of moisture coming cleanly from the south in a nina...yeah that always works out, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 10:08 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Low pressure system with a lot of moisture coming cleanly from the south in a nina...yeah that always works out, lol Expand Super warm ENSO subsurface water in the west, if it moves east.. 1988 is the only example, Stronger El Nino with negative subsurface waters (opposite correlation) I think subsurface dominates lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 I like the 18z GFS as opposed to the 12z already. Not sure if I should, but definitely colder after the monster storm pushes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/26/2021 at 4:27 PM, cbmclean said: Been reading several items about wanting a Pacific jet extension to help shake up the NPac ridge. I was thinking wasn't it last year that we were desperately hoping for the jet to retract so we could shake off the Pac puke? So an extended jet is sometimes good and sometimes bad? Anyone with more knowledge have any insight? Expand The positive phase of the PNA is associated with an extension, and/or a poleward shift of the North Pacific jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Nice lakes cutter at the end of run on the gfs. Maybe February will work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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