TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 18z NAM doesn’t look much different… maybe a little beefier on snow totals across a wider area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Here is my first stab at the forecast. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 3km NAM was actually decently colder than the 12km on the 18z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 18z NAM doesn’t look much different… maybe a little beefier on snow totals across a wider area? 18z NAM: Edit: you must mean the 3km one, my bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 3km NAM was actually decently colder than the 12km on the 18z run. Yeah I realize that’s what TauntBlizz must’ve been talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Yeah I realize that’s what TauntBlizz must’ve been talking about. Yes… it’s a pretty hefty thump for everyone off the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yes… it’s a pretty hefty thump for everyone off the cape Yeah the different grid sizes are worlds apart in terms of solutions, ha. That 3km was a nice thump to ice, ending as some rain for a good chunk of posters. Would likely end with white ground for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 2 hours ago, IowaStorm05 said: It wouldn’t surprise me if we start seeing some winters where the south coast and islands fails to receive 1 inch for the entire winter. Not very often but some years I guarantee will be snowless. We had under 10 inches in 06-07 in SE CT, and a couple others after that around 11-12-13 inches, but under an inch will be pretty tough to do even in the snow hole of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Yeah I'd take it. 3K. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I realize that’s what TauntBlizz must’ve been talking about. Maybe change the picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 Would like to see qpf ramp up some as we get closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 RGEM looks like it's tickling warmer on the 18z run. It was pretty cold at 12z with like 3-4" down into central CT....this run is giving the advisory snows mostly along and north of the MA/CT border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take 3-4" of snow and run. I think you're good for 3-4" given the tics colder at 12z today. Just outside of Boston metro inside 128 I'm thinking 1-3". Not bad model consensus 48 hours away. At the moment, NAM seems on its own with the aggressive WAA. 18z RGEM ticked warmer, but it was one of the coldest models so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 ICON tickled colder at 18z if we even give a sh*t about that model....it was one of the warmer ones at 12z though....so we're seeing some convergence now (RGEM coming in warmer after being one of the coldest models too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Your poor, tormented winter soul lol Fingers crossed, I will be in Salisbury (further away from the water) by early January. My closing date was supposed to be back in September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 If there’s enough for me to legitimately use my new snowblower, I’ll be totally psyched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: ICON tickled colder at 18z if we even give a sh*t about that model....it was one of the warmer ones at 12z though....so we're seeing some convergence now (RGEM coming in warmer after being one of the coldest models too). A meager event, but pretty decent consensus at 48 hours. How could this surprise other than colder/warmer? Other thing I'm watching is if QPF ramps up or shreds out. 12z -> 18z looked a tick drier. We don't have much buffer... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 BTV Maps: Map for dreamers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, klw said: BTV Maps: Map for dreamers They must be going with a more northerly solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Where is Phin? Hope he’s ok. Not like him to not be on with snow coming in. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 32 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: If there’s enough for me to legitimately use my new snowblower, I’ll be totally psyched. I bought mine after the Dec storm last year and still haven't used it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: Where is Phin? Hope he’s ok. Not like him to not be on with snow coming in. They got to him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take 3-4" of snow and run. Would you post a snow map from F5 (eurowx). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Wonder what @NHDrySlotthinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They got to him. I have a gif, but I don’t want them to get me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, wkd said: Would you post a snow map from F5 (eurowx). I am mobile, bunch of us have them, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 1 hour ago, snowman21 said: We had under 10 inches in 06-07 in SE CT, and a couple others after that around 11-12-13 inches, but under an inch will be pretty tough to do even in the snow hole of SNE. I remember O6-07. I lived in Westerly! Not only was it under 10 inches…. But half of that fell from a storm in April 2007, which isn’t even winter. the Valentines Day storm at first was promising to be a blizzard on the coast. This was in the days of those early accuweather discussion videos. I was horrified when about 2-3 days out they revealed that it would be a “mix of rain and snow along the 95 corridor”. This was bad because I knew that meant mostly rain for us. And mostly rain it was, it was pooling water under a thin crust of ice. The evening it arrived I saw exactly one large snowflake before plain sleet started the onset. Another winter was equally as bad: 2001-2002. Same place. Same bullshit kind of winter. I guess we got 5 inches that season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 GYX has gone conservative, backing off a bit on totals. I thought there'd be a watch, but now they are going with 3-7 up this way. They're talking about dryslots and mixing ruining the dynamics at just around the time the Euro says we be getting heavy snow. But it's not Legro so I don't trust it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Gfs ticked warmer 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder what @NHDrySlotthinks Why doesn’t he post? Nervous? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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